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NHL playoffs: Series outlooks ahead of Wednesday's Game 5s

May 10, 2022 07:51 PM
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The Colorado Avalanche swept the Nashville Predators, but every other Stanley Cup playoffs series is still going, and three will resume on Wednesday. All odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Pittsburgh Penguins (-650) vs. New York Rangers ( 475)

Pittsburgh never scored more than two goals in a single game against Igor Shesterkin during the regular season, but the likely Vezina Trophy winner has allowed 16 goals in four games in this series. The Rangers haven’t played well in front of him, though, so not all the blame should be placed on the goaltender. New York had a glorious opportunity to capitalize on the fact that Louis Domingue is the Penguins’ starting goaltender, but they’ve been outplayed badly by Pittsburgh, and I think I was right to be so skeptical of this team heading into the playoffs. If Shesterkin isn’t able to figure things out in Game 5, the Rangers' hopes of bringing the Stanley Cup back to New York will be lost, but given that the Penguins are still missing forward Rickard Rakell and defenseman Brian Dumoulin, the door is still open for the Rangers to win on Wednesday, and they’re favored to do so. However, according to my model, the Penguins have an 85 percent chance of winning the series, and that means the series odds should be around -570 in favor of Pittsburgh heading into Game 5. 

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