Tuesday NHL Sharp Report

March 21, 2023 12:22 AM

Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Tuesday's betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET. 

You can also track the VSiN Betting Splits for every game. 

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Tuesday's loaded 13-game NHL game slate...


7 p.m. ET: Minnesota Wild at New Jersey Devils

The Wild (40-22-8) have won two of their last three games and just took down the Capitals 5-3, cashing as -140 home favorites. Meanwhile, the Devils (45-18-7) just snapped a three-game losing skid with a 5-2 win over the Lightning, cashing as +100 road dogs. This line opened with the Devils listed as a -160 home favorite and the Wild a +145 road dog. Pros have laid the chalk with New Jersey, steaming the Devils up from -160 to -175. Home favorites with a line move in their favor in non-conference games are 112-62 (64%) this season. Sweet spot big favorites -175 to -225 are 173-77 (69%). The Devils are 31-17 as a favorite. The Wild are 5-11 as a dog. Both teams are allowing 2.7 goals per game defensively. The difference comes on offense where New Jersey is averaging 3.5 goals per game compared to 3 for Minnesota. 


8 p.m. ET: Detroit Red Wings at St. Louis Blues

The Red Wings (30-30-9) have ten of their last twelve games and just fell to the Panthers 5-2, losing as +165 home dogs. On the flip side, the Blues (31-33-5) have won two straight and just took down the Jets 3-0, cashing as +120 home dogs. This line opened with St. Louis listed as a -130 home favorite and Detroit a +110 road dog. Pros have laid the short number with the Blues, driving St. Louis up from -130 to -135. The Blues have a big "rest vs tired" advantage of the Red Wings, as St. Louis last played on Sunday while the Wings are playing the second game of a back-to-back. Detroit is also playing their third game in four days. Favorites vs teams on the second leg of a back-to-back are 132-73 (64%) this season. Detroit is just 20-30 as a dog and 13-16-5 on the road. The Blues also have the better offense (3.1 GPG vs 2.9 GPG). The total is 6.5 with the over juiced to -115, signaling some over liability. The Blues are 40-23-6 to the over, one of the best over teams in the NHL this season. 


10 p.m. ET: Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks

The Flames (31-25-15) have lost two straight and just got crushed by the Kings 8-2, losing as -105 road dogs. Similarly, the Ducks (23-37-10) have dropped three of their last four games and just fell to the Canucks 2-1, losing as +110 home dogs. This line opened with Calgary listed as a -185 road favorite and Anaheim a +170 home dog. Pros aren't scared off by the big price and have steamed the Flames up from -185 to -200. Road favorites -175 or more are 236-91 (72%) this season. Road favorites vs teams who missed the playoffs the previous season are 148-79 (65%). Calgary is 15-11-11 on the road. Anaheim is 12-18-3 at home. Calgary has the better defense (3.1 goals allowed per game vs 4) and the better offense (3.2 GPG vs 2.6). The Flames also have the better power play (20% vs 16%) and penalty kill (82% vs 73%). Motivation could also be a factor, as the Flames are just four points out of the final Wild Card spot in the West while the Ducks have already been eliminated.

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