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NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Wednesday 5/4

May 4, 2022 09:42 AM
USATSI_18192582

Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets. All recommended bets are tracked as one unit (bet to win one unit on favorite and risk one unit on underdog) unless stated otherwise. If you want, you can use the model projection to bet in proportion to its perceived edge. Let’s look at each series from a betting perspective.

All game lines via DraftKings Sportsbook. All stats courtesy of Evolving Hockey. Follow me on Twitter.

Market Report for Tuesday, May 3rd

Washington picked up a huge win over the Panthers as + 205 underdogs on Tuesday, but unfortunately the Flames couldn’t cover the puck line, despite shutting out the Stars. Nonetheless, it was a profitable day.

Record: 111-96, + 5.90 units, 2.8 percent ROI

Note: Player prop bets (if any) can be found by scrolling to the bottom of the report.

Market Report for Wednesday, May 4th

Four teams are looking to take a 2-0 series lead, while their opponents are hoping to even the score. Let’s look at things from a betting perspective.

Boston Bruins (+ 100) at Carolina Hurricanes (-120)

ESPN’s Emily Kaplan suggests that it is unlikely Frederik Andersen will be ready for Game 2, and if that’s the case, the Bruins should be priced around -110. The Bruins were good, in a lot of ways, in Game 1. They generated 3.5 expected goals and kept the Hurricanes at bay with just 2.4 expected goals. Of course, the 5-1 score paints a different picture, but I don’t think it’s a very good indicator of what we should expect to see in future games. Boston will cash in on some of their chances, and if they get adequate goaltending, they will win some games in this series. I recommend betting on Boston at even money, but there is value in betting on Boston to win the series at + 170, too.

Picks:

Boston Bruins (+ 100)

Boston Bruins Series + 170 (half size)

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