NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Wednesday 5/25

May 25, 2022 09:23 AM

Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets. All recommended bets are tracked as one unit (bet to win one unit on favorite and risk one unit on underdog) unless stated otherwise. If you want, you can use the model projection to bet in proportion to its perceived edge. Let’s look at each series from a betting perspective.

All game lines via DraftKings Sportsbook. All stats courtesy of Evolving Hockey. Follow me on Twitter.

Market Report for Monday, May 24th

There were no recommended bets on Tuesday. Player prop bets went 1-0 as Johnny Gaudreau once again went over 3.5 shots on goal.

Record: 112-109, -5.4 units, -2.4 percent ROI

Note: Player prop bets (if any) can be found by scrolling to the bottom of the report.

Market Report for Wednesday, May 25th

Let’s look at things from a betting perspective.

St. Louis Blues (+ 200) at Colorado Avalanche (-240)

The Blues are on the brink of elimination after losing Game 4 of their second round series. Jordan Binnington is out for the rest of the series, and his replacement, Ville Husso, has allowed at least four goals in four straight games after earning a shutout win in Game 1 of the first round. The Blues have won just one game in the series despite scoring first in all four games, and the Avalanche are probably feeling confident that they can defeat the Blues in several ways. Colorado looks to be hitting their stride offensively again after struggling earlier in the series, and that’s bad news for Husso and the Blues. I expected a better effort from St. Louis in Game 4, but they played stupid, and won a stupid prize. Maybe they’ll be better in Game 5, but the Avalanche have learned how tough it is to put a team away in the playoffs, and I suspect that they’ll continue trending upward like they have been over the last two games. From a betting perspective, I’m still neutral on the game line. My model prices the Avalanche at around -245.

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