NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Wednesday 4/6

April 6, 2022 07:42 AM
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Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets.

All game lines via VSiN NHL Odds Page

All stats via Evolving Hockey and Natural Stat Trick

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Market Report Recap for Tuesday, April 5th

I was hoping Nashville would handle the Wild they did the last time the teams met, and even though the Predators weren’t as dominant this time around, the final score (6-2) was the same.

Record:

102-87, + 7.47 units, 3.8 percent ROI

Note: Player prop bets (if any) can be found by scrolling to the bottom of the report.

Market Report for Wednesday, April 6th

There are five games scheduled for Wednesday.

Let’s look at things from a betting perspective:

Tampa Bay Lightning (-140) at Washington Capitals (+ 120)

The Lightning are barely holding onto the third spot in the Atlantic Division after going 6-8 straight up over the last month, and Tuesday they’ll be in Washington to try and sweep the season series. Tampa Bay was victorious in the first two meetings, but both games were close. Assuming the starting goaltenders are Andrei Vasilevskiy and Vitek Vanecek, the Lightning should be priced around -120. The Capitals moved from + 130 to + 120 overnight, and I’m fine with that because the Capitals have been a frustrating team to bet on lately.

Detroit Red Wings (+ 240) at Winnipeg Jets (-280)

Detroit pulled off an upset win over the Boston Bruins on Tuesday, but it was just their fifth win in their last 21 games, and they were outplayed by a tired team that had played the night before. The Red Wings lose often, and they often lose big. Detroit has lost 43 games this season and 33 of those losses have been by a margin of two goals or more. The Jets still have a slim chance of making the playoffs, which makes them desperate, and they’ll have a big edge in goal, assuming Connor Hellebuyck is between the pipes. Since Feb. 1st, no team has allowed more goals on a per 60-minute basis than the Red Wings. Detroit has allowed 4.65 goals against per 60 minutes over their last 24 games and the Jets have rank 11th on offense during that same stretch. This is a tough spot for Detroit, but according to my model, oddsmakers have done a good job of pricing this game.

Calgary Flames (-250) at Anaheim Ducks (+ 210)

Anaheim has lost 12 of their last 13 games, and their only win came over a depleted Coyotes lineup. I don’t have much hope for this team following the trade deadline, and the Flames have handled these situations well all season long. Calgary doesn’t play down to lesser teams on the road, like some of the other elite teams in the league do, and the Flames have won all six road games in which their moneyline odds were -175 or higher. Not only that, but they covered the puck line in each of those games as well. It’s not a large sample of games, but the Flames are a team that you can count on to bring it every night, regardless of the opponent. Calgary has been playing .500 hockey for about a month now, but the road has been kind to them this season and they should be able to serve the Ducks another loss. However, this is the first half of a back-to-back for the Flames, as they will visit San Jose on Thursday, and it’s unclear whether Jacob Markstrom or Dan Vladar will get the start.

Notes: Flames’ defenceman Oliver Kylington did not accompany the team on the road trip.

Bet Summary:

There are no recommended bets currently.

Player Prop Bets:

Record: 115-113, -11.1 units, -4.11 percent ROI

There are no recommended player prop bets currently.

 

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