NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Wednesday 4/27

April 27, 2022 08:28 AM

Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets.

All game lines via VSiN NHL Odds Page

All stats via Evolving Hockey

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Market Report Recap for Tuesday, April 26th

A busy month caught up to me on Tuesday night. I couldn’t keep my eyes open, so I went to bed thinking the moneyline bet on the Flames was a loser. I regretted making the bet once Dan Vladar was announced as the starter, but an injury to Nashville’s starter, Juuse Saros, led to an awful performance by their backup goaltender David Rittich, who allowed the both the tying goal, and the overtime winner, on just five shots. I really hope these two teams meet in the opening round.

Record: 109-93, + 6.22 units, 3.0 percent ROI

Note: Player prop bets (if any) can be found by scrolling to the bottom of the report.

Market Report for Wednesday, April 27th

There are five games scheduled for Wednesday, but I’m just focusing on three games that I might end up having a vested interest in. Let’s look at things from a betting perspective.

Montreal Canadiens (+ 290) at New York Rangers (-350)

After losing to the Hurricanes on Tuesday, the Rangers don’t have anything left to play for, and all the focus is on Artemi Panarin’s injury heading into Wednesday’s game against Montreal. Panarin and Andrew Copp both left Tuesday’s game and did not return. I’m going to assume that both players are doubtful to play on Wednesday. The Rangers could also rest some of their other top stars, but I’m not going to make any more assumptions. Alex Georgiev is expected to start in goal, which also reduces the Rangers chances of winning. If they were playing anybody other than the Canadiens, I might be excited to make a bet against the Rangers, but Montreal has lost nine games in a row. In eight of those games, they lost by two or more goals. There’s a little bit of value in backing the dog here, but the Rangers still have a much better roster and if you consider all the possible ways that this game will play out, New York has a better chance of scoring first. I made a small bet on the Arizona Coyotes at + 790 when they were trailing 1-0 to the Wild on Tuesday. Maybe a similar opportunity will present itself in this game.

Arizona Coyotes (+ 400) at Dallas Stars (-500)

Even though the Dallas Stars defeated the Vegas Golden Knights on Tuesday, the latter’s playoff hopes are still alive because the game went to overtime. Unfortunately, the Golden Knights’ fate rests in the hands of the Arizona Coyotes. The Coyotes upset a depleted Wild roster on Tuesday with a 5-3 win, but the chances of lightning striking twice in two days are slim. The Coyotes have just three wins in their last 20 games, and the Stars, while mediocre, are more than capable of winning this game. After all, Harri Sateri will start in goal for the Coyotes. The 32-year-old has an .822 save percentage on the season. According to my model, the Stars should be priced around -390, and while I’m not opposed to betting the Coyotes in-game, I’m not interested in making a pre-game wager on this team.

Notes: Scott Wedgewood is expected to start for the Stars.

Vegas Golden Knights (-220) at Chicago Blackhawks (+ 190)

The Golden Knights have shown no ability to come through in the clutch, and they’ve lost several games that were more than winnable. They’ve lost several winnable games down the stretch, and while bad luck has played a role, it seems like there’s something wrong with this team. There’s a ton of talent on the roster but hasn’t been working. The Golden Knights will probably win on Wednesday, but my model doesn’t see value in laying -220. The Blackhawks are a bad hockey team, but Vegas is tired, and Logan Thompson is likely going to have to play his second game in two days. It’s not a good spot for the road team but taking + 190 isn’t a good bet either.

Bet Summary:

There are no recommended bets currently.

Player Prop Bets:

Record: 115-113, -11.1 units, -4.11 percent ROI

There are no recommended player prop bets currently.

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