NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Wednesday 4/13

April 13, 2022 11:12 AM
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Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets.

All game lines via VSiN NHL Odds Page

All stats via Evolving Hockey and Natural Stat Trick

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Market Report Recap for Tuesday, April 12th

I took it on the chin on Tuesday, with two close losses on favorites. First, the Penguins fell in a shootout to the Islanders, and I would like to think the result would’ve been different if not for a surprise start by Casey DeSmith. Then the Lightning were shutout (1-0) by the Stars and backup goaltender Scott Wedgewood.

Record:

104-90, + 5.97 units, 3.0 percent ROI

Note: Player prop bets (if any) can be found by scrolling to the bottom of the report.

Market Report for Wednesday, April 13th

There were four games scheduled for Wednesday but one (Seattle at Winnipeg) has been postponed due to extreme weather warnings.

Let’s look at things from a betting perspective:

New York Rangers (-200) at Philadelphia Flyers (+ 175)

New York fell 4-2 in Carolina on Tuesday and Igor Shesterkin isn’t likely going to play back-to-back games. That means backup Alex Georgiev will get the start, and even though he’s won his last five in a row, he had a losing record previously and he’s posted a .894 save percentage on the season. Still, the Rangers are in a good position to win this game, as the Flyers are coming off a 9-2 beatdown at the hands of the Capitals on Tuesday. Philadelphia also lost goaltender Carter Hart and forward Cam Atkinson to injuries on Tuesday. Martin Jones played the final 40 minutes against the Capitals and allowed six goals on 27 shots. He’ll likely be back in the crease again on Wednesday, with Hart injured, but there hasn’t been an update on Atkinson’s status. According to my model, the Rangers should be priced around -195. The Flyers are a bad hockey team that can’t afford to lose a player like Atkinson. And even though Georgiev is a below-average goaltender, he’s rested, and Jones is not.

Montreal Canadiens (+ 140) at Columbus Blue Jackets (-160)

Jake Allen could have provided the Canadiens with some stability in goal, but his return to the lineup was short lived, as the veteran goaltender is now out for the rest of the season. That leaves starting duties to Samuel Montembeault and Cayden Primeau, both of whom are sporting a sub-900 save percentage. Neither team has anything to play for, and it shows, as both the Blue Jackets and Canadiens have just three wins a piece over their last 11 games. According to my model, the Blue Jackets shouldn’t be priced any higher than -145.

Los Angeles Kings (+ 200) at Colorado Avalanche (-250)

Colorado currently sits atop the Central Division, and the Western Conference, and they have a 11-point lead over the next best team, the Calgary Flames with only 10 games remaining. In other words, the Avalanche have nothing to play for, and that should be a concern for bettors who chose to lay the favorite. Don’t get me wrong, the Avalanche will still win this game often, but these are glorified exhibition games and they’re still without two of their top three scorers, Gabriel Landeskog and Nazem Kadri. Kadri was on the ice earlier this week, but the team claims that he is not at 100 percent yet, and Landeskog hasn’t skated since he was last in the lineup on March 10th. The Kings are coming off a 5-2 win over the Blackhawks on Tuesday, so they’ll be tired, but all their remaining games are meaningful, and their effort should reflect that. Still, my model prices the home team at around -265, and therefore, I won’t be taking the dog.

Bet Summary:

There are no recommended bets currently.

Player Prop Bets:

Record: 115-113, -11.1 units, -4.11 percent ROI

There are no recommended player prop bets currently.

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