NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Wednesday 2/23

February 23, 2022 12:08 PM
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Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets.

All game lines via VSiN NHL Odds Page

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Market Report Recap for Tuesday, Feb. 22nd

There was just one recommended bet on Tuesday. Minnesota failed to get the job done against the tired Senators, losing 4-3 in regulation. The Wild were the better team, but they didn’t play up to their standard.

Record:

77-70, + 0.2 units, 0.1 percent ROI

Note: Player prop bets (if any) can be found by scrolling to the bottom of the report.

Market Report for Wednesday, Feb. 23rd

There are just five games scheduled for Wednesday.

Let’s look at things from a betting perspective:

Edmonton Oilers (+ 170) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-190)

Edmonton won five games in a row following Jay Woodcroft’s promotion to interim head coach, but the team fell 7-3 to the Wild at home in their last game and things are only going to get tougher. It all starts with Wednesday’s matchup against the Lightning in Tampa Bay, where the home team should be priced around -200. The Lightning have had a light schedule as of late, but they’ve still cleaned up, winning 11 of their last 15 games, and the Oilers have yet to prove themselves against top-tier competition like Tampa Bay.

Winnipeg Jets (+ 125) at Dallas Stars (-145)

Both Dallas and Winnipeg have played 49 games, and the Stars sit four points head of the Jets in the standings. There’s a lot at stake in this game, as a win for the Jets would really boost their playoff chances. Likewise, a win for the Stars would extend their lead to six points. Jake Oettinger will start in goal for the Stars, while Connor Hellebuyck will probably be in goal for the Jets. According to my model, the Stars shouldn’t be priced any higher than -120, so taking the dog at + 130 or better is a value play. Unfortunately, the consensus line moved to + 125 as I was writing this report, so the value is gone at most shops.

Colorado Avalanche (-240) at Detroit Red Wings (+ 200)

Nathan MacKinnon will not be in the lineup for the Colorado Avalanche when they visit the Red Wings in Detroit on Wednesday. Meanwhile, Red Wings’ forward Dylan Larkin will be a game-time decision. Obviously, regardless of what the lineups look like, the Avalanche will probably win the game, but according to my model, they should be priced around -250, assuming Larkin suits up and Alex Nedeljkovic is in goal for Detroit. Following the MacKinnon news, the consensus game line moved from -270 to -240

Note: Pavel Francouz will start in goal for the Avalanche.

Buffalo Sabres (-110) at Montreal Canadiens (-110)

The Montreal Canadiens and their new head coach, Martin St. Louis, have won three games in a row. It’s their first winning streak of the season, and rookie Cole Caufield once again looks like a superstar, scoring five goals and adding three assists over his last six games. The Sabres are missing several players due to injury and illness, but Victor Olofsson is the most notable player that’s out right now. It’s going to take some time for my model to catch up to the Canadiens, if they really are going to play a better brand of hockey down the stretch, but this will be their third game in four days and my model makes this game a coin flip.

Notes: Craig Anderson will start in goal for the Sabres and Samuel Montembeault will start for the Canadiens.

Los Angeles Kings (-200) at Arizona Coyotes (+ 175)

The Kings have won two in a row, and their last victory was a 5-3 comeback-win over the Coyotes, in Arizona. The Coyotes had jumped out to a 3-1 lead, but the Kings battled back and earned some valuable points in their quest to qualify for the playoffs. The Kings have a set of back-to-back games coming up this weekend, but they’re have three days off. Arizona has had two days off since picking up an upset win over the Stars. It was just their third win in their last dozen games, and according to my model, there’s about a 66 percent chance that they will be dealt another loss on Wednesday when the Kings come to town.

Bet Summary:

Player Prop Bets:

Record: 115-113, -11.1 units, -4.11 percent ROI

There are no recommended player prop bets currently.

 

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