NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Wednesday 2/2

February 2, 2022 10:23 AM
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Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for our best player prop bets powered by Range Hockey’s Puck Propagator.

All game lines via VSiN NHL Odds Page

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Market Report Recap for Tuesday, Feb. 1st

With the way things have been going, it almost seemed inevitable that the Rangers would get the lead on an own goal 35 seconds into the game. The Panthers then had a tying goal disallowed on an offside call. Florida did score the next two goals, leading 2-1 at one point, but the game got away from them quickly and they didn’t score another goal.

Record:

71-65, -1.35 units, -1.0 percent ROI

Note: Player prop bets (if any) can be found by scrolling to the bottom of the report.

Market Report for Wednesday, Feb. 2nd

There are just five games on Wednesday. The NHL will return on Monday, Feb. 7th, following the All-Star Game.

Let’s look at things from a betting perspective:

Edmonton Oilers (-105) at Washington Capitals (-115)

Washington is coming off a 4-3 overtime win in Pittsburgh on Tuesday, while the Oilers have had just one day off since they lost in overtime to the Senators in Ottawa. Washington might have won the game, but it came at a price, as goaltender Vitek Vanacek was injured early in the first period and did not return. Ilya Samsonov played the rest of the game, and he’ll likely have to play again on Wednesday against the Oilers. In other words, the Capitals would be in a better position to get a win over the Oilers today if Samsonov was rested, but he isn’t. According to my model, the market has got this one right, for the most part, as there are still some lineup questions that need to be answered.

Update: Big news as Washington Capitals superstar Alex Ovechkin will miss the game (and the All-Star Game) due to COVID. The Oilers are priced anywhere from -120 to -130 across the board and according to my model, they should be priced around -115. Tyson Barrie, who has been out since Jan. 20th, is back for Edmonton. Ilya Samsonov and Mikko Koskinen will be the starting goaltenders.

Seattle Kraken (+ 160) at New York Islanders (-180)

Both teams played on Monday. The Kraken lost 3-2 to the Bruins in Boston, while the Islanders defeated the Senators by a score of 4-1 at home. Ryan Pulock made his return to the Islanders lineup last night, and that should help the team a lot going forward. Ilya Sorokin and Chris Driedger were the starting goaltenders on Monday, so we’ll probably see Semyon Varlamov, and Philipp Grubauer go head-to-head today. According to my model, the Islanders should be priced around -170, which means I’m probably going to stay neutral on this one.

Update: Semyon Varlamov is likely to start for the Islanders.

Los Angeles Kings (-135) at Detroit Red Wings (+ 115)

Los Angeles has had two days off, while the Red Wings are playing their fourth game in six days. I was able to bet the Ducks at around -105, up to -110 in a losing effort against the Red Wings a couple of days ago, and although the Kings currently grade out as a better team than the Ducks, they opened at -145, and therefore I had no interest in laying the favorite from the get-go. The line has come down to -135, which is closer to where it should be. Jonathan Quick and Alex Nedeljkovic are expected to start in goal.

Calgary Flames (-270) at Arizona Coyotes (+ 230)

The Flames rallied to score three goals late in the game and picked up a 4-3 win over the Dallas Stars on Tuesday, while the Coyotes earned a shootout victory over the Avalanche. Karel Vejmelka will start in goal for the Coyotes, but it’s unclear who the Flames will choose to start between the pipes. Jacob Markstrom was the starting goaltender in last night’s win, and there’s a long break coming up, so he could get another start, but Daniel Vladar is a possibility as well. Both teams will be tired, but depending on who the Flames start in goal, they should win the game about 73 percent of the time, and that means there’s no value bet here.

Minnesota Wild (-160) at Chicago Blackhawks (+ 140)

Cam Talbot will start in goal for the Wild, while Marc-Andre Fleury is expected to start yet another game for the Blackhawks. The veteran goaltender has started 12 games since Jan. 4th and captain Jonathan Toews remains out with an injury. The Wild are back to full strength after missing several key players for a long stretch, and the team has eight out of their last nine, including five in a row. Don’t expect Chicago to put an end to the winning streak, either, as the Blackhawks have only won six out of their last 17 games dating back to the middle of December. According to my model, the Wild should be priced around -165, since the Blackhawks are playing with very little rest and Minnesota has had two days off.

Update: Marc-Andre Fleury will start for the Blackhawks.

Bet Summary:

There are no recommended bets currently.

Player Prop Bets:

Record: 115-113, -11.1 units, -4.11 percent ROI

There are no recommended play prop bets currently.

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