NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Tuesday 6/7

June 7, 2022 10:35 AM
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Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets. All recommended bets are tracked as one unit (bet to win one unit on favorite and risk one unit on underdog) unless stated otherwise. If you want, you can use the model projection to bet in proportion to its perceived edge.

All game lines via VSiN’s NHL Odds Page. All stats courtesy of Evolving Hockey. Follow me on Twitter.

Record: 112-110, + -6.65 units, -2.9 percent ROI

Market Report Recap for Monday, June 5th

Just one small bet on the Colorado Avalanche (-130), who completed the sweep of the Edmonton Oilers on Monday.

Market Report for Tuesday, June 6th

Let’s look at Game 4 of the Eastern Conference final from a betting perspective.

New York Rangers (+ 155) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-175)

Heading into the series, it was unclear whether the Lightning would look rested or rusty, as they’d been off for more than a week while the series between New York and Carolina was still ongoing. After two games, it seemed like rust had triumphed with New York leading the series 2-0, but the Lightning’s dominant performance in Game 3 has left everyone wondering if they’ve found their legs. If this series becomes a best-of-three, all the rest that the Lightning had following their sweep of the Florida Panthers will help them. However, they’re going to have to use some of that saved energy to replicate their performance on Sunday, otherwise, it’ll be tough to take down Igor Shesterkin.

Despite carrying the play for the entire game, Tampa Bay trailed 2-0 after the Rangers scored two goals in a little over two minutes at the midway through the second period. Of course, the Lightning did come back, but it took a perfectly executed play in the final minute of the game to get the win. The Rangers are a dangerous team, and even though they were badly outplayed, things could’ve gone their way and the Lightning could be facing elimination. The Lightning finished Game 3 with 86 shot attempts (51 on goal) and still only beat Shesterkin three times. New York had as many shot attempted (51) as the Lightning had shots on goal and expected goals were heavily in favor (4.7-3.1) in their favor.

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