NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Tuesday 3/8

March 8, 2022 08:18 AM
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Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets.

All game lines via VSiN NHL Odds Page

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Market Report Recap for Monday, March 7th

Florida destroyed the Sabres by a score of 6-1, easily covering the puck line, and the Flames earned a hard-fought victory over the Oilers to make it a profitable day.

Record:

87-73, + 4.3 units, 2.6 percent ROI

Note: Player prop bets (if any) can be found by scrolling to the bottom of the report.

Market Report for Tuesday, March 8th

There are 11 games scheduled for Tuesday, but I have two early bets that I want to get out of the way.

Let’s look at things from a betting perspective:

New York Rangers (+ 125) at Minnesota Wild (-145)

Minnesota has lost nine of 13 games since the All-Star break, and goaltending has been a big problem. In fact, only the Red Wings have had a worse on-ice save percentage since Feb. 7th, as Cam Talbot and Kaapo Kakhonen have combined to post a .863 save percentage. The Rangers don’t have that problem. Thanks to Igor Shesterkin, New York has the best on-ice save percentage of any team, and they’ll have a big edge in the crease if Shesterkin gets the nod. Gerard Gallant has not yet confirmed that he will start, though, and as a result, I’m going to risk about half as much on the Rangers as I would like to. This will be the fourth game in six days for the Wild, and according to my model, the home team should be priced around -115. The Wild are healthier now than they’ve been lately, with Jordan Greenway and Matt Dumba back from injuries, but they’ve allowed at least four goals in nine of their last 11 games and that’s not a recipe for success. Especially when facing off against a goaltender of Shesterkin’s caliber. Bet the Rangers on the moneyline at + 125 or better.

Pick:

New York Rangers + 125 (half size)

Update: Abort! Abort! Alexandar Georgiev will start for the Rangers on Tuesday, which is unfortunate to say the least. I do not recommend taking the dog anymore, as Shesterkin was a big reason why I took a small position on them to begin with.

Tampa Bay Lightning (-165) at Winnipeg Jets (+ 145)

Connor Hellebuyck is a great goaltender, but it looks like even he won’t be able to save the Jets like he has in past years. The Jets are just not a good hockey team. The Lightning, on the other hand, are a great hockey team, and Andrei Vasilevskiy gives them an advantage in goal, which is not something that many teams in the league have over Winnipeg. The Jets have lost eight of 13 games since the All-Star break, and they’ve allowed three goals or more in 12 of them. This is the second game of a six-game road trip for the Lightning, and I expect Vasilevskiy to get the start on Tuesday because the team has a back-to-back coming up late in the trip and backup goaltender Brian Elliott played a few days ago. According to my model, the Lightning should be priced closer to -180.

Pick:

Tampa Bay Lightning -165 (half size)

Bet Summary:

Early Bets:

New York Rangers + 125 (half size)

Tampa Bay Lightning -165 (half size)

Player Prop Bets:

Record: 115-113, -11.1 units, -4.11 percent ROI

There are no recommended player prop bets currently.

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