NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Tuesday 2/22

February 22, 2022 11:06 AM
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Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets.

All game lines via VSiN NHL Odds Page

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Market Report Recap for Monday, Feb. 21st

Yesterday’s game between the Hurricanes and Flyers was tilting, to say the least. I had a bet on the Canes to cover the puck line, and another bet on the moneyline. Carolina led three times in the game (1-0, 2-1 and 3-2) but found themselves in overtime. They did win, and I’m thankful that I didn’t lose both bets, but I’m not happy about the outcome.

Record:

77-69, + 1.4 units, 0.9 percent ROI

Note: Player prop bets (if any) can be found by scrolling to the bottom of the report.

Market Report for Tuesday, Feb. 22nd

There are just six games scheduled for Tuesday.

Let’s look at things from a betting perspective:

Nashville Predators (+ 175) at Florida Panthers (-200)

Nashville has struggled recently, losing nine of their last 14 games. Meanwhile, the Panthers have gone 17-4 since Dec. 29th, and they’ve scored at least five goals in 13 of those games. Florida’s schedule has been light as of late, too, so Sergei Bobrovsky will once again start in goal for the Panthers. Florida should be priced around -200, assuming Juuse Saros is in goal for the Predators.

Toronto Maple Leafs (-230) at Columbus Blue Jackets (+ 200)

Well, Monday did not go as planned for the Maple Leafs, as the Montreal Canadiens defeated Toronto by a score of 5-2. Jack Campbell will start for the Maple Leafs, while J-F Berube will get another start for the Blue Jackets. Berube made his first start since 2017-18 over the weekend and picked up a win, but a 30-year-old goaltender with an .898 career save percentage isn’t going to go on a run here. Coming off two embarrassing losses, the Maple Leafs should win on Tuesday. According to my model, Toronto should be priced around -240.

Minnesota Wild (-240) at Ottawa Senators (+ 210)

The Wild are in Ottawa to take on the Senators, who are playing their 10th game in 16 days. Things started out good, with wins over the Devils and Hurricanes following the All-Star game, but since then, the Sens have dropped five of their last seven, and the Wild might just be the toughest test they’ve had to face so far due to their elite offensive abilities. Ottawa hasn’t been scoring at a high enough rate, which is likely since they’re missing three very important players, Drake Batherson, Josh Norris and Thomas Chabot. In five of Ottawa’s last seven games, they’ve failed to register more than two goals.  This should make it hard to compete with the Wild, who have gone 12-4 over their last 16 games and rank as the third-best team on offense, according to Evolving Hockey. Matt Murray was back at practice on the weekend, so there’s a chance that he could be back between the pipes for Ottawa on Tuesday. Cam Talbot is expected to start for the Wild, but it could be Kaapo Kakhonen as well. Either way, the Wild deserve to be a much bigger favorite than they are currently. According to my model, Minnesota should be priced somewhere around -265, as their chances of winning this game are almost 73 percent. Unfortunately, the game line moved from -220 to -240 while publishing this report, so I am only going to recommend making a half size wager on this one.

Pick:

Minnesota Wild -240 (half size)

St. Louis Blues (-220) at Philadelphia Flyers (+ 190)

There’s a chance that Martin Jones will be tasked with starting two games in two days, after giving up four goals in Monday’s overtime loss to the Hurricanes. If that’s the case, and Jordan Binnington is in goal, we could see fireworks in this game. The Blues are in a good position to win the game, regardless of whether it’s Binnington or Ville Husso in goal, but the game will likely trend towards going over the total if Jones and Binnington are the starting goaltender. Of course, Husso would give them a better chance to win, as his .942 save percentage (since Dec. 28) is a lot better than Binnington’s .830 save percentage. Flyers’ goaltender Carter Hart was supposed to start Monday’s game, but he was ruled out due to an eye infection. If he is not able to return to the crease on Tuesday, and the Blues start Binnington, I will likely find myself betting the total to go over six goals if line doesn’t move too quickly.

Notes: Jordan Binnington is expected to start for the Blues, but there is still no word on whether it will be Martin Jones in goal for the Flyers or not.

New York Islanders (-150) at Seattle Kraken (+ 130)

Seattle fell to 5-2 to the Canucks in Vancouver on Sunday, so this will be their second game in two nights. The Islanders have lost eight of their last 12 games, and there isn’t any value in laying -150 on them to defeat the Kraken on Tuesday. My model prices the Islanders at -145, so they will likely win the game, but they have been consistently overpriced by the market and today is no different.

San Jose Sharks (+ 130) at Anaheim Ducks (-150)

Ryan Getzlaf is expected to return to the Ducks’ lineup on Tuesday, but Josh Manson won’t be back in time for the game against the Sharks, who are still without Erik Karlsson. Both teams have been struggling for a while now, as the Ducks have only won seven of their last 20 games and the Sharks have seven wins in their last 19 games, including six losses in a row. Anaheim has a big edge in goal, assuming John Gibson gets the start, but neither team has a big edge in any other category. According to my model, the Ducks should be priced around -145.

Bet Summary:

Early Bets:

Minnesota Wild -220

Player Prop Bets:

Record: 115-113, -11.1 units, -4.11 percent ROI

There are no recommended player prop bets currently.

 

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