NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Thursday 5/26

May 26, 2022 10:51 AM
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Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets. All recommended bets are tracked as one unit (bet to win one unit on favorite and risk one unit on underdog) unless stated otherwise. If you want, you can use the model projection to bet in proportion to its perceived edge. Let’s look at each series from a betting perspective.

All game lines via DraftKings Sportsbook. All stats courtesy of Evolving Hockey. Follow me on Twitter.

Market Report for Wednesday, May 25th

There were no recommended bets on Tuesday.

Record: 112-109, -5.4 units, -2.4 percent ROI

Note: Player prop bets (if any) can be found by scrolling to the bottom of the report.

Market Report for Thursday, May 26th

Let’s look at things from a betting perspective.

New York Rangers (+ 135) at Carolina Hurricanes (-155)

Carolina can’t win on the road, but they’re undefeated at home in the playoffs. That’s the story heading into Game 5 but the real story is Igor Shesterkin. He’s posted a .959 save percentage in the series, which would probably be the talk of the hockey world if not for Andrei Vasilevskiy’s .980 save percentage in four games versus the Panthers. Shesterkin has been exactly what the Rangers need him to be, and that’s bad news for the Hurricanes. Andrei Svechnikov and Vincent Trocheck are pointless in the series so far, and overall, the Hurricanes offense seems to have dried up, like it did for a stretch in the regular season. The Rangers offense hasn’t been great, but they’ve been the better team at even strength for much of the series, and their goaltender is playing great. My model estimates that the Hurricanes should be priced around -140. I haven't made any pregame bets in this series, and it looks like that's going to the case once again. With such a low margin for error in the series so far, I will be looking for an opportunity to jump on either team in game.

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