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NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Thursday 4/28

April 28, 2022 07:09 AM

Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets.

All game lines via VSiN NHL Odds Page

All stats via Evolving Hockey

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Market Report Recap for Wednesday, April 27th

There were no recommended bets on Wednesday.

Record: 109-93, + 6.22 units, 3.0 percent ROI

Note: Player prop bets (if any) can be found by scrolling to the bottom of the report.

Market Report for Thursday, April 28th

Approach with caution. That’s been the theme of my handicapping over the last couple of weeks, and with just two days left in the regular season, playoff teams are going to rest some of their top players. Let’s look at things from a betting perspective.

New Jersey Devils (+ 260) at Carolina Hurricanes (-300)

Carolina won the Metropolitan Division, so they have absolutely nothing to play for heading into Thursday’s game against the Devils. The Hurricanes will likely choose to start resting some of their star players and that makes it difficult to handicap this game. New Jersey only has six wins in their last 23 games, and the Hurricanes should still win this game regardless of what their lineup looks like. My model suggests the home team should be a bigger favorite than they are, but that doesn’t take into account all of the questions that I have about their lineup.

Buffalo Sabres (+ 280) at Boston Bruins (-320)

The Bruins are coming off a big win over the Florida Panthers at home, and they can still improve their position in the standings if they catch the Tampa Bay Lightning. However, I’m not sure they want to do that. As of now, the Bruins would enter the playoffs as the wild card in the Metropolitan Division, which means their road to the Stanley Cup would first go through Carolina, then through Pittsburgh or New York, and that route is a lot easier than the one that has stops in Toronto, Tampa Bay or Florida. I assume the Bruins will rest several top players on Thursday, though. Patrice Bergeron and other top stars could use a break before the post season grind begins, and I’m sure head coach Bruce Cassidy is cognizant of that.

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