NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Thursday 2/24

February 24, 2022 11:18 AM
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Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets.

All game lines via VSiN NHL Odds Page

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Market Report Recap for Wednesday, Feb. 23rd

There were no recommended bets on Wednesday.

Record:

77-70, + 0.2 units, 0.1 percent ROI

Note: Player prop bets (if any) can be found by scrolling to the bottom of the report.

Market Report for Thursday, Feb. 24th

Thursday is another relatively light day, with only eight games scheduled.

Let’s look at things from a betting perspective:

Minnesota Wild (+ 130) at Toronto Maple Leafs (-150)

Two of the top offenses in the league will go head-to-head when the Wild visit the Maple Leafs in Toronto on Thursday, but neither team is at full strength. The Maple Leafs will be without defender Jake Muzzin for the foreseeable future, and the Wild are going into this game without the help of Matt Dumba and Jordan Greenway. There’s a chance that Mats Zuccarello will be back in the lineup, as he did practice prior to missing the Wild’s last game, but it sounds like he will be a game-time decision. Petr Mrazek will start in goal for the Leafs, while Kaapo Kakhonen will start for the Wild. According to my model, the Maple Leafs should be priced around -155, as this is their third game in four days.

Washington Capitals (+ 100) at New York Rangers (-120)

T.J. Oshie will return to the Capitals’ line up on Thursday, and that means Washington is back at full strength and well-rested, as they’re coming off a six-day break. The Rangers are rested, too, as they have had three days off since their last game. New York has played 20 games since the holidays, and they’ve won 13. The Capitals, on the other hand, have only won 10 of 21 games over that same stretch. I expect the Capitals to play better down the stretch, but the Rangers still have an edge in goal with Igor Shesterkin, and New York should be priced around -105, according to my model.

Columbus Blue Jackets (+ 350) at Florida Panthers (-450)

Zach Werenski will not play for the Blue Jackets on Thursday, and J-F Berube will start his third straight game. Sergei Bobrovsky will be in goal for the Panthers. I don’t have much to say here, as my model prices the Panthers around -480, and there isn’t enough of an edge to justify laying the favorite.

New Jersey Devils (+ 245) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-290)

Dougie Hamilton will return to the Devils’ lineup on Thursday, just in time to play the Penguins in Pittsburgh. The Devils have only won four out of their last 17 games and even though they’re healthy again, they don’t stand much of a chance against the Penguins. Pittsburgh has been sliding a bit themselves, losing six of their last 10 games, but this is the fourth-best team by expected goals, according to Evolving Hockey. The Devils rank 20th in that category, but they’ve been even worse (25th in goals share) on the surface. I’ve handicapped this game around -275 in favor of the home team.

Notes: Tristan Jarry will start for the Penguins. John Gillies is expected to start for the Devils.

Dallas Stars (+ 130) at Nashville Predators (-150)

Dallas pulled off an overtime win over the Jets on Wednesday, and now they’re in Nashville to take on the Predators, who are coming off a big win themselves. Nashville defeated the Florida Panthers by a score of 6-4 on Tuesday, which put an end to their losing streak. The Predators have struggled recently, but Juuse Saros did get some rest over the last few days, and he will be between the pipes on Thursday. According to my model, the Predators should be priced closer to -160, assuming Braden Holtby is in goal for the Stars.

Calgary Flames (-165) at Vancouver Canucks (+ 145)

Calgary is going for their 11th win in a row, which would be the longest winning streak in franchise history, but betting on the hottest team in the league comes with additional costs. The Flames opened at -170, but have since been bet down to -160, which I believe is an appropriate price for the road team. The Canucks are an average team, at best, and the Flames are playing like one of the best teams in the league. Laying -160 here is a tough sell, given that Vancouver still has a solid goaltender, and they haven’t given up on their playoff hopes, even though they’re very slim.

Boston Bruins (-210) at Seattle Kraken (+ 190)

The Bruins are coming off what was probably their most impressive performance (and win) of the season. They defeated the Avalanche in Boston by a score of 5-1, but they also controlled a large portion of the shots and scoring chances in the game. It was truly a dominant performance. Bruins’ forward Brad Marchand is eligible to return from his suspension on Thursday, which will give the team a big boost. Jeremy Swayman’s .925 save percentage is much better than Linus Ullmark’s .909 mark, though, and the Bruins are going with the latter on Thursday. My model doesn’t think highly of Ullmark (and neither do I). Therefore, I believe a fair price for the Bruins is around -220.

New York Islanders (-130) at San Jose Sharks (+ 110)

San Jose has lost seven games in a row, and 11 of their last 13. The games have been close, but the team has been having a hard time putting pucks in the net, scoring more than three goals only four times during that stretch. This is first of three games in four days, and it’s unclear who will start in goal for the Sharks, but it will probably be James Reimer, as Adin Hill is still out with an injury. The Islanders should be priced around -110, according to my model, which means I likely won’t end up taking a position on this game.

Notes:  Ilya Sorokin is expected to start in goal for New York.

Bet Summary:

Player Prop Bets:

Record: 115-113, -11.1 units, -4.11 percent ROI

There are no recommended player prop bets currently.

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