NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Sunday 5/22


Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets. All recommended bets are tracked as one unit (bet to win one unit on favorite and risk one unit on underdog) unless stated otherwise. If you want, you can use the model projection to bet in proportion to its perceived edge.

All game lines via VSiN NHL Odds Page. All stats courtesy of Evolving Hockey. Follow me on Twitter.

Market Report Recap for Saturday, May 21st

There were no recommended bets on Saturday. Player prop bets went 1-2 for a break-even night (the two losses were half size bets).

Record: 112-108, + -4.20 units, -1.9 percent ROI

Note: Player prop bets (if any) can be found by scrolling to the bottom of the report.

Market Report for Sunday, May 22nd

Lets’ look at things from a betting perspective.

Florida Panthers (-115) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-105)

The Panthers were the aggressor in Game 2, until the final seconds, when they totally lost the plot. Tampa Bay scored with 3.9 seconds left in regulation to take a 2-1 lead in the game and a 2-0 lead in the series. Florida’s offense, which was so lethal during the regular season, has been stagnant in the playoffs. Their power play, which was the fifth-best in the NHL during the regular season, is 0-for-25 in the playoffs. Can the Panthers turn it around and win the series? Sure, they can. Florida can put everything behind them by winning the next two games. The Boston Bruins did it in 2011 when they started the playoffs 0-for-30 on the power play and went on to win the Stanley Cup. However, the Bruins didn’t have to stare down Andrei Vasilevskiy, who seems to be back in his playoff groove. The Panthers have the skill to take down the Lightning, but Tampa Bay is a patient team, and they’re experienced in the art of playoff hockey. Sergei Bobrovsky could help the Panthers by stealing a game, but I wouldn’t count on it with Vasilevskiy on the other end of the rink. The Panthers need to beat the Lightning with their fire power, but with two goals in two games, and the Lightning seemingly settling into another run at the Stanley Cup, the Presidents’ Trophy winners are in a very tough spot. My Model prices the Panthers at around -120, so there isn’t quite enough value to justify laying -115. I’ve already marked my series bet as a loss but hopefully the Panthers can get back in the series.

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