NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Sunday 3/20

March 20, 2022 10:17 AM
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Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets.

All game lines via VSiN NHL Odds Page

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Market Report Recap for Saturday, March 19th

There was just one recommended bet on Saturday, a small play on the Los Angeles Kings. Vegas won the game 5-1.

Record:

94-79, + 6.77units, 3.8 percent ROI

Note: Player prop bets (if any) can be found by scrolling to the bottom of the report.

Market Report for Sunday, March 20th

There are six games scheduled for Sunday.

Let’s look at things from a betting perspective:

New York Islanders (-155) at Philadelphia Flyers (+ 135)

The Flyers traded Claude Giroux to the Florida Panthers on Saturday, but it sounds like Owen Tippett, the player they received in return, will be in the lineup. That doesn’t make up for Giroux’s absence, obviously, but it should be factored in. New York picked up a win over Dallas on Saturday with Semyon Varlamov in goal, so Ilya Sorokin will probably start on Sunday. The Flyers aren’t good on offense, and New York has been scoring goals at a slightly above average rate over their last 20 games. I think a fair price is around -150 in favor of the road team if Carter Hart starts in goal for the Flyers.

Dallas Stars (+ 140) at Washington Capitals (-160)

Dallas fell 4-2 to the New York Islanders on Saturday. It was their fourth loss in their last five games. Jake Oettinger took the last single. Miro Heiskanen remains out due to an illness, and goaltender Braden Holtby will not suit up against his former team because of a lower body injury. It’s unclear whether the team Oettinger will start on back-to-back days, but it seems like a possibility given that their other option is 22-year-old Adam Scheel, who does not have any NHL experience. The Capitals have turned it around as of late, winning seven of their last eight games and scoring four goals or more in each of those wins. They’re missing T.J. Oshie, Lars Eller, Nick Dowd and Carl Hagelin though. Still, the Capitals are still the better team and even though it's their third game in four days, they should be priced around -165.

New York Rangers (+ 175) at Carolina Hurricanes (-200)

The Rangers picked up a big 2-1 win over the defending champs last night in Tampa Bay, but if Alexandar Georgiev starts on Sunday, their chances of defeating the Hurricanes in Carolina are slim. It’s unclear whether Antti Raanta or Frederik Andersen will start in goal, but either goaltender would give them an edge over Georgiev. However, there is a chance that Rangers’ head coach Gerard Gallant decides to go back to Igor Shesterkin. The Hurricanes have struggled offensively since the All-Star break, scoring just 2.9 goals per 60 minutes. That’s about 0.6 goals less than they were scoring prior to the All-Star break. New York isn’t good on offense, though, so the Hurricanes should (in theory) be able to outscore them on Sunday.

Arizona Coyotes (+ 170) at San Jose Sharks (-190)

The Coyotes have been playing good hockey, at least by their standards, as of late, but the roster could undergo some drastic changes over the next couple of days. Jacob Chychrun is out with an injury, and is likely to be traded, but Arizona has several other players, like Lawson Crouse, that have been labelled as possible trade candidates. Arizona fell 4-1 to the Pittsburgh Penguins at home on Saturday and Karel Vejmelka will start in goal against the Sharks, who have lost seven of their last 10 games. Under normal circumstances, I would have considered taking the underdog in this contest, but I’m not incentivized to do so at + 170.

Winnipeg Jets (-130) at Chicago Blackhawks (+ 110)

Winnipeg is still technically in the playoff race, but there’s a chance that they could start to sell some of their more useful assets. Andrew Copp, Paul Stastny and Brendon Dillon, among others, have all been listed as possible trade targets for teams that view themselves as a contender. Chicago is coming off a 3-1 loss to the Minnesota Wild on Saturday, and Marc-Andre Fleury is expected to start in goal. Assuming the Jets don’t shake up their lineup with a trade, my model prices the road team around -125 if Connor Hellebuyck is in goal.

Buffalo Sabres (+ 175) at Vancouver Canucks (-200)

Vancouver hosted the Flames on Saturday with Thatcher Demko in goal and lost 5-2. Jaroslav Halak could start for the Canucks on Sunday when they host the Buffalo Sabres, who are playing their third game in four days. The Canucks have been one of the best teams on offense since the All-Star break, but their underlying numbers don’t suggest there’s anything to really be excited about. They’re a mediocre team that’s had good shooting luck. There’s also a chance that they could make trades today or tomorrow and be worse off.  Still, the Sabres probably won’t be able to outscore them. My model prices Vancouver around -180.

Bet Summary:

Early Bets:

There are no recommended bets currently.

Player Prop Bets:

Record: 115-113, -11.1 units, -4.11 percent ROI

There are no recommended player prop bets currently.

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