NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Saturday 6/18

June 18, 2022 08:56 AM

Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets. All recommended bets are tracked as one unit (bet to win one unit on favorite and risk one unit on underdog) unless stated otherwise. If you want, you can use the model projection to bet in proportion to its perceived edge.

All game lines via VSiN’s NHL Odds Page. All stats courtesy of Evolving Hockey and Natural Stat Trick. Follow me on Twitter.

Record: 114-112, -6.15 units, -2.7 percent ROI

Market Report for Wednesday, June 15th

Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final was highly entertaining, as the Lightning forced overtime after erasing a two-goal deficit and forced overtime. They fell short, though, and therefore, the moneyline bet was a loser.

Market Report for Saturday, June 18th

Let’s look at Game 2 of the Stanley Cup Final from a betting perspective.

Tampa Bay Lightning (+ 135) at Colorado Avalanche (-155)

I was happy with the small amount of closing line value that I accumulated by betting on Tampa Bay at + 140 in Game 1, after it was announced that Brayden Point would be returning to the Lightning’s lineup. But now that it’s obviously reflected in the market, as most sportsbooks are offering odds around + 130 on the Lightning in Game 2.

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