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NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Saturday 5/7

May 7, 2022 07:57 AM
USATSI_18201808

Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets. All recommended bets are tracked as one unit (bet to win one unit on favorite and risk one unit on underdog) unless stated otherwise. If you want, you can use the model projection to bet in proportion to its perceived edge. Let’s look at each series from a betting perspective.

All game lines via DraftKings Sportsbook. All stats courtesy of Evolving Hockey. Follow me on Twitter.

Market Report for Friday, May 6th

There were no recommended bets on Friday.

Record: 111-101, + 1.9 units, 0.9 percent ROI

Note: Player prop bets (if any) can be found by scrolling to the bottom of the report.

Market Report for Saturday, May 7th

There are four games on Saturday. Let’s look at things from a betting perspective.

Florida Panthers (-205) at Washington Capitals (+ 175)

Washington forward Tom Wilson missed Game 2, and it’s unclear if he will be available for Game 3. Washington now has home-ice advantage for the next two games, but they’re still big underdogs even though they played well over the first two games. According to my model, the betting market is too low on the Capitals, even if Wilson is out, but I’m going to hang back and wait for more information. If he can’t play, we could see the game line move in Florida’s favor, and if I’m going to make a bet that will lose more often than win, I want to ensure I’m getting the best of it. The Panthers have been the better team at even strength, but overall, Washington has been able to hang with Florida, and I don’t think anybody should be counting them out just yet.

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