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NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Saturday 5/14

May 14, 2022 08:53 AM
USATSI_18254485

Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets. All recommended bets are tracked as one unit (bet to win one unit on favorite and risk one unit on underdog) unless stated otherwise. If you want, you can use the model projection to bet in proportion to its perceived edge.

All game lines via VSiN NHL Odds Page. All stats courtesy of Evolving Hockey. Follow me on Twitter.

Market Report for Friday, May 13th

The Flames dominated the game early but could not beat Jake Oettinger. They lost 4-2. This run I’ve been on has been truly unbelievable, but it’s nothing I haven’t encountered before. Still, it would be nice if something would go my way.

Record: 111-106, + -3.35 units, -1.5 percent ROI

Note: Player prop bets (if any) can be found by scrolling to the bottom of the report.

Market Report for Saturday, May 14th

Game 7 times three. Let’s look at things from a betting perspective.

Boston Bruins (+ 115) at Carolina Hurricanes (-135)

Boston has been the better team at even strength in this series, but they haven’t gotten the offense to match their underlying play. That changed in Game 6, as the Bruins outscored the Hurricanes 3-1 at even strength and won the game. Of course, in order to win the series, they’ll have to do something that they haven’t done yet in this series, and that’s win a game on the road. In fact, no team has won a road game in this series, and that really adds to the old saying that a series doesn’t start until a road team wins. The Hurricanes still don’t have Frederik Andersen, their starting goaltender, and the Bruins have overcome a lot of adversity with Hampus Lindholm and Charlie McAvoy each missing time throughout the series. According to my model, this game should be priced like a coin flip, and therefore, I’m backing the Bruins to win Game 7 at + 115. I’m already holding Boston to win the series at even money, and + 170, but I’m comfortable taking the dog here in a winner-take-all contest.

Pick:

Boston Bruins + 115

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