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NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Saturday 4/16

April 16, 2022 09:46 AM
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Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets.

All game lines via VSiN NHL Odds Page

All stats via Evolving Hockey and Natural Stat Trick

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Market Report Recap for Friday, April 15th

There were no recommended bets on Friday.

Record:

105-92, + 4.02 units, 2.0 percent ROI

Note: Player prop bets (if any) can be found by scrolling to the bottom of the report.

Market Report for Saturday, April 16th

A week ago today, I had just eclipsed nine units of profit, but after a brutal week, I’m back down to around four units of profit. Saturday’s slate isn’t very appetizing, but I do have one small bet to start the day.

Let’s look at things from a betting perspective:

Pittsburgh Penguins (+ 105) at Boston Bruins (-125)

David Pastrnak and Hampus Lindholm skated on their own on Friday, but they did not attend practice and Bruins’ head coach Bruce Cassidy doesn’t expect either player to suit up on Saturday. The Bruins have lost four of their last five games, and their offense has only produced 2.2 goals per 60 minutes since Pastrnak’s injury. The Penguins have also been struggling, though, and Evgeni Malkin is not in the lineup due to suspension. According to my model, assuming Casey DeSmith is in goal for Pittsburgh, the home team should be priced around -130.

Notes: Linus Ullmark is dealing with an injury so Jeremy Swayman will be in goal for the Bruins on Saturday.

Minnesota Wild (-110) at St. Louis Blues (-110)

The Wild have won 12 of their last 15 games, but the Blues have been able to keep pace, winning nine of their last 10, and both teams are sitting with 98 points heading into Saturday. There isn’t a whole lot separating these teams, and the Blues have been a top-three team on offense all season long. Assuming the starting goaltenders are Marc-Andre Fleury and Ville Husso, my model estimates that the Blues will win this game approximately 53 percent of the time.

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