NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Saturday 3/19

March 19, 2022 08:03 AM
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Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets.

All game lines via VSiN NHL Odds Page

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Market Report Recap for Friday, March 18th

There were no recommended bets on Friday.

Record:

94-78, + 7.27 units, 4.1 percent ROI

Note: Player prop bets (if any) can be found by scrolling to the bottom of the report.

Market Report for Saturday, March 19th

There are 11 games scheduled for Saturday, but I don’t like much from a betting perspective. I do have one small bet, though. With the trade deadline looming, and half of the league labelled as sellers, I'm going to approach the games with caution this weekend. 

Let’s look at things from a betting perspective:

Los Angeles Kings (+ 110) at Vegas Golden Knights (-130)

Vegas surprised us all when they snapped their five-game losing streak with an upset win over the Florida Panthers on Thursday, but Jack Eichel suffered an injury in the game and did not return. Head coach Pete DeBoer said they’re still waiting on test results, but he also said the injury is a big concern as it could keep Eichel out for a few days, or more than that. The team is already without Mark Stone, Reilly Smith and Max Pacioretty, but there’s a possibility that the latter could suit up on Saturday. Robin Lehner is also out with an injury and there is no timetable on his return. The Kings are also banged up, but there’s a chance that Drew Doughty could be back in the lineup for this game. Not having Viktor Arvidsson in the lineup is a bummer, but the Kings are a well-structured team and I’m much more comfortable with their goaltending situation. I’m taking the dog in the hopes that the Golden Knights will be without Pacioretty and Eichel. However, I’m also betting that Doughty will play. Bet the Kings on the moneyline at + 110 or better, but shop around, because I was able to take + 115 and + 120.

Notes: It's unclear who will start in goal for the Golden Knights but it will be Laurent Brossoit or Logan Thompson. Cal Petersen started the last game for Los Angeles, a 3-0 shutout win over the Sharks, but the Kings could turn to Jonathan Quick.

Pick:

Los Angeles Kings + 110 (half size)

Toronto Maple Leafs (-120) at Nashville Predators (+ 100) 

Auston Matthews will return to the Maple Leafs' line up after serving a two-game suspension, and Erik Kallgren will once again be in the crease. The rookie goaltender has won two games in a row, and you have to give him credit, but I don't believe that goaltending has suddenly become one of the team's strengths. He's a 25-year-old 7th round pick from 2015 and let's not forget, even a zamboni driver played goal and won a game in this league. Nashville has an a fairly easy schedule as of late, and they've made good on it, winning seven of their last 11 games. Juuse Saros gives the Predators an edge in goal over the Maple Leafs, but with both teams, especially Toronto, having great offensive capabilities, this could be a fun game to search for in-game opportunities.

St. Louis Blues (-175) at Columbus Blue Jackets (+ 155) 

The Blue Jackets only have four wins in their last 11 games, and they're coming off a big 7-2 loss to the Washington Capitals. There's a good chance that they're active leading up to the trade deadline, too. Elvis Merzlikins is expected to start in goal for Columbus, but Boone Jenner is not expected to be in the lineup. This will be the team's third game in four days. The Blues have not named a starting goaltender yet, but some outlets have listed Ville Husso as the expected starter. Robert Thomas practiced on Friday, which means he's expected to play on Saturday, and that should give St. Louis a boost. The Blues only have two wins in their last eight games, so laying the favorite in this game should be a tough sell for bettors. My model prices this game at around -160 in favor of the road team.

New York Rangers (+ 175) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-200) 

The Lightning are back in Tampa Bay following a six-game road trip, but they'll only play one game before heading out on to play a string of four more road games. Some sportsbooks opened the home team up at around -180, and I would've been delighted to lay the favorite at that price. Even though the Lightning haven't been wowing anybody with their play as of late, they have a great goaltender that can match Igor Shesterkin, and they grade out as a much stronger team than the Rangers in most meaningful categories. It's unclear if newly acquired Brandon Hagel will be ready to join the team, but if he is, that means the team has another 20-goal scorer in the lineup. According to my model, the Lightning should be priced around -205.

Calgary Flames (-140) at Vancouver Canucks (+ 120)

The last time the Flames were in Vancouver, they were riding a 10-game winning streak and were looking to set a franchise record with their 11th win in a row. The Canucks had other plans, though, and the game ended up being a blow out. Vancouver won 7-1, and they've been one of the best teams on offense since the All-Star break. Calgary has been a top offensive team all season, but they didn't show it in Friday night's 1-0 shootout loss to the Buffalo Sabres. Jacob Markstrom was in goal on Friday, and I wouldn't be surprised if he starts again on Saturday. The Flames next two games against the San Jose Sharks and the Arizona Coyotes are spaced out, so Markstrom can rest during that stretch. Dan Vladar could be in the goal, of course, but I'm going to stay open to the possibility that Markstrom starts again.

Bet Summary:

Early Bets:

Los Angeles Kings + 110 (half size)

Player Prop Bets:

Record: 115-113, -11.1 units, -4.11 percent ROI

There are no recommended player prop bets currently.

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