Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets. All recommended bets are tracked as one unit (bet to win one unit on favorite and risk one unit on underdog) unless stated otherwise. If you want, you can use the model projection to bet in proportion to its perceived edge. Let’s look at each series from a betting perspective.
All game lines via VSiN NHL Odds Page. All stats courtesy of Evolving Hockey. Follow me on Twitter.
Market Report for Thursday, May 26th
There were no recommended bets on Tuesday besides one final Johnny Gaudreau prop, which was a winner, as he went over 3.5 shots on goal in the second period.
Record: 112-109, -5.4 units, -2.4 percent ROI
Note: Player prop bets (if any) can be found by scrolling to the bottom of the report.
Market Report for Friday, May 27th
There’s just one game on tap for Friday. Let’s look at things from a betting perspective.
Colorado Avalanche (-170) at St. Louis Blues (+ 150)
Despite a big-time game from Nathan MacKinnon (hat trick) in Game 5, the Avalanche couldn’t eliminate the Blues. St. Louis rallied from a 0-3 deficit, and then tied the game again, after MacKinnon’s third goal, and won it in overtime. The Blues were priced as high as 15/1 when they were down 3-0. It was the first time in these playoffs that Avalanche goaltender Darcy Kuemper allowed more than three goals in a game, and a good reminder that the Blues are a good offensive team. They haven’t been generating very many shots, either, as the 58 shot they took in (slightly below league average) was the more than they had attempted in any of the previous four games. Colorado attempted over 100 shots in Game 1, but the Blues have tightened things up and the Avalanche have only averaged about 60 shot attempts in the last four games. Just about every hockey fan (outside of St. Louis) wants to see the Avalanche advance so that we can watch MacKinnon go head-to-head with Connor McDavid, but we should all be concerned that they’re letting this series slip away. From a betting perspective, there’s not much that I’m interested in. Player props, specifically shots on goal, are tough to find value on because the Blues aren’t taking that many shots and the Colorado players that do get pucks on the net frequently are carrying a lot of chalk.