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NHL betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Friday 5/13

May 13, 2022 01:09 PM

Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. This page will be updated throughout the day as needed. Be on the lookout for player prop bets. All recommended bets are tracked as one unit (bet to win one unit on favorite and risk one unit on underdog) unless stated otherwise. If you want, you can use the model projection to bet in proportion to its perceived edge.

All game lines via VSiN NHL Odds Page. All stats courtesy of Evolving Hockey. Follow me on Twitter.

Market Report for Thursday, May 12th

There were no recommended bets on Thursday.

Record: 111-103, -1.75 units, -0.8 percent ROI

Note: Player prop bets (if any) can be found by scrolling to the bottom of the report.

Market Report for Friday, May 13th

It’s Friday the 13th, and three teams are facing elimination. I’m not superstitious, but I am a little stitious. Let’s look at things from a betting perspective.

Florida Panthers (-160) at Washington Capitals (+ 140)

Carter Verhaeghe leads the Panthers with 5 goals and 5 assists in 5 games played, which is 5 points better than Florida’s second leading scorer, Aleksandar Barkov, who has just one goal and four assists in the series. Verhaeghe is listed as a game-time decision heading into Game 6, but we will know his status shortly as warmups are just about to get underway in Washington. Regardless, the Panthers are going to need their top stars to shine brightly tonight if they want to avoid a Game 7. Barkov and Jonathan Huberdeau have each only potted one goal in five games, and Verhaeghe is the only player to light the lamp more than two times in this series.  The Capitals will be without Tom Wilson again as he hasn’t returned to action since being injured in Game 1. It would give the Capitals a big boost if he was able to return in time for Game 7, but they’re obviously going to have to win Game 6 for that to be a possibility. I’m not counting the Capitals out, but the series was theirs for the taking and it’s going to be hard to get back into it. Washington was a much bigger underdog at home earlier in the series, and my model estimate falls around the midpoint of the moneyline odds i.e., -150 in favor of the road team.

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