Early Super Bowl Sharp Report

January 30, 2023 01:10 AM

Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 6:30 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Monday's betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 2:30 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's examine where early smart money is leaning for the Super Bowl


Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles (-2, 49.5)

The Chiefs (16-3) just edged the Bengals 23-20 in the AFC Championship game, covering as 2-point home favorites. Meanwhile, the Eagles (16-3) just crushed the 49ers 31-7 in the NFC Championship game, easily covering as 3-point home favorites. This line opened at roughly a pick'em, with some shops opening the Chiefs as high as a 2.5-point neutral site favorite. Respected money has pounced on the Eagles, flipping Philadelphia to a 2-point favorite. Some shops are even showing Eagles -2.5. Currently 70% of bets and 74% of money is backing the Eagles as well, indicating both Pro and Joe support. Over the past 15 years, the team receiving line movement in their favor is 11-4 ATS in the Super Bowl. The Chiefs could be an ideal teaser candidate (+2 to +8), passing through multiple key numbers. Kansas City also has buy-low value as a "bad" ATS team (8-11) against a sell-high "good" ATS team (10-9). The Eagles are -125 on the moneyline. The Chiefs are +105.

We've also seen respected money hit the under. Some books opened with a total as high as 51 and have fallen to 49.5. After starting the playoffs with 4 straight overs, we've now seen 7 straight unders this postseason. When the total is 48 or higher, the under is 7-2 in the Super Bowl since 2008. The under is 5-1 in the last six Eagles games and 4-1 in the last five Chiefs games. 


Super Bowl MVP at DraftKings

Jalen Hurts +120

Patrick Mahomes +125

Travis Kelce +900

AJ Brown +1000

Miles Sanders, Devonta Smith +2000

Isiah Pacheco +3000

Chris Jones +4000

Jerick McKinnon, Haason Reddick +5000



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