Super Bowl props are what make the game so special. From game props to player totals, there is no shortage of bets to make on the big game. Some of the most fun wagers out there are cross-sport props offered by a select few operators in the market. Below I have broken down my five favorite cross-sport NBA props for Super Bowl 57:
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Philadelphia Eagles PTS (-3.5) over Tyrese Maxey [PHI] Points
Tyrese Maxey has settled into his role as a sixth man, and in games in which he has come off the bench, he is averaging 15.4 points per game. Philadelphia’s team total is about 25.5 consensus as of Monday, so using those as a barometer, it would seem that the play here is to lay it 3.5 with Philadelphia. However, there are a few factors to consider regarding Maxey.
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First, the 76ers will face the Brooklyn Nets, a team that has declined defensively in recent weeks. Their last six opponents, one of which was the 76ers, have averaged 127.1 points per 100 possessions in non-garbage time, and Maxey torched this team on Jan. 25 for 27 points off the bench. Should Philadelphia fail to surpass its projected team total, something I believe will happen, the gap between these two sides shrinks significantly.
Play: Tyrese Maxey PTS (+3.5)
Memphis Grizzlies + Boston Celtics 1Q Points (-2.5) over Miles Sanders Rushing Yards
This one is fascinating, as there are many factors at play for both sides. Let’s start with the potential first quarter score between Boston and Memphis. Since the Grizzlies lost Steven Adams to injury, their defense has been abysmal, allowing 117.9 points per 100 possessions in non-garbage time. In first quarters during this stretch, Memphis has allowed 1.236 points per possession, and those opening frames have seen an average of 60.4 points, a number right in line with Sanders’ rushing yards prop of 60.5 at DraftKings.
But Sanders has not been the Eagles’ most productive back recently. Since Week 15, he’s rushed for just 335 yards on 83 attempts (4.0 yards per carry), and he is the lowest-graded running back for Philadelphia over that time by PFF standards (60.0). Sanders also has to deal with Kenneth Gainwell eating into his attempts, as Gainwell has been the more explosive option at 5.7 yards per carry since Week 15, according to Pro Football Focus. Considering all the evidence, it would make sense that laying 2.5 here would be the play.
Play: Memphis/Boston 1Q PTS (-2.5)
Jalen Hurts Rush Yards (PK) over LeBron James [LAL] Points, Rebounds & Assists
Since Hurts has returned from injury, his rushing production has dropped considerably. He’s run for 86 yards in three games for 3.7 yards per carry. He is also scrambling less, as Pro Football Focus has ascribed just two scrambles to him in the two playoff games. DraftKings has his rushing prop set at 49.5, which is high considering what we have seen from him since his injury. LeBron James is averaging 43.6 points, rebounds and assists this season, so an average night for James means Hurts bettors here cannot afford another quiet rushing performance. As someone already playing Unders on Hurts’ rushing props, this cross-sport prop screams James to me.
Play: LeBron James PTS REB AST (PK)
Ja Morant [MEM] Points, Rebounds & Assists (-140) over Travis Kelce First Half Receiving Yards (+110)
The betting market has moved in favor of Ja Morant here, which makes all the sense in the world. For the season, Morant is averaging 41.4 points, rebounds, and assists per game, so if he hits his averages, that would mean about 42 or more receiving yards for Kelce in the first half. That would be over half of his receiving prop of 77.5 at DraftKings. It’s no guarantee that Morant will hit his averages, obviously, and in his career he has had some trouble in this matchup against Boston, totaling only 38.0 points, rebounds and assists. This was one prop that I was willing to go all in on initially, but once the market moved and realizing how well Kelce could exploit this Eagles’ zone defense, I turned in the other direction.
Play: Kelce 1H Receiving Yards (+110)
