Super Bowl and Conference Championship NFL picks from ESPN's Sal Paolantonio on Follow The Money

By Adam Burke  ( 

January 24, 2023 04:05 PM

ESPN NFL insider joined Mitch Moss and Pauly Howard on Tuesday

VSiN fan and ESPN NFL reporter Sal Paolantonio stops by from time to time on Follow The Money and conference championship week was certainly a good opportunity to get an old friend back on the show.

Sal shared his insights into Bengals vs. Chiefs and 49ers vs. Eagles before giving his Super Bowl thoughts:

Bengals favored over Chiefs

Much has been made this week of the line flip in the AFC Championship Game with Cincinnati now a road favorite at Arrowhead Stadium. Patrick Mahomes is clearly hobbled with the high ankle sprain and there is speculation across the market as to whether or not the line move is based on some concerning reports from the Chiefs or if it is just a byproduct of the assumption that he’s going to have a hard time moving around.

We’ve got a Bengals vs. 49ers matchup preview for you and we’ll have more as the week goes along.

Eagles holding at -2.5 vs. 49ers

The early money that hit Philadelphia on Sunday night and Monday morning to push the line out from -1.5 to -2.5 has stopped. As Adam Burke wrote about on Monday, we’re looking at the first time since 1997 that both conference championship lines have been less than a field goal. Most sportsbooks are -2.5 with -115 vig on the Eagles, indicating that they are doing whatever they can to keep from having to go to -3.

As the week goes along, some sportsbooks may decide to go to -3 to see if they do get hit with San Francisco money, but none of them have reached that point yet, as most of the 49ers money is likely on the moneyline and not the spread.

We’ve got a 49ers vs. Eagles matchup preview for you and we’ll have more on this game as the week goes along as well.



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Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings for every game on the board, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

View more NFL tools for Pro subscribers


Lou Finocchiaro: Kenneth Gainwell Anytime TD +380. View more picks.

Pauly Howard: Score Every Quarter (+600). View more picks.


Live Bet Sunday: The majority of the handle for the Super Bowl will come relatively late, ramping up a few days before the game. Expect this action to alter the money line prices if not the spread. View more tips.

The Lombardi Line: The Chiefs have FOUR rookie DBs with Trent McDuffie, Joshua Williams, Jaylen Watson, and Bryan Cook. If the Chiefs D focuses on pass rush and leaves the DBs to play man-to-man, the Eagles' pass catchers have the advantage. View more tips.


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