MNF Seahawks vs. Giants Week 4 odds and predictions
Every week, VSiN will be doing an in-depth dive on the week’s Monday Night Football game. In Week 4, that game features the New York Giants hosting the Seattle Seahawks at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The Seahawks are coming off a 10-point win over the Carolina Panthers last week, so they have now won two in a row. Meanwhile, the Giants got demolished by the San Francisco 49ers on Thursday Night Football last week. But that does mean that New York will be well rested coming into this game. With that out of the way, keep reading for our Seahawks vs. Giants preview, picks and player props.
MORE: Check out our Week 4 NFL Bet Hub for all of this week's best bets and content
How To Watch Seahawks vs. Giants
Date: Monday, October 2
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Seahawks vs. Giants Spread
The Giants were really banged up when they faced the 49ers last week, with Andrew Thomas, Ben Bredeson and Saquon Barkley all being out. It seems like Thomas is on the wrong side of questionable for New York this week, and Barkley looks like he's doubtful. But Bredeson should be out there. And that would really open up the Giants offense, as the threat of the run will be there — even if it's Matt Breida taking the handoffs. That takes pressure off Daniel Jones, who was unable to get anything going against San Francisco. But this is an entirely different matchup for Jones, as the Seahawks are just 28th in the league in Defensive DVOA against the pass. So, there should openings for Jones to make some throws in this game, and I think he’ll be able to do it. New York has had 10 days to prepare for this game, and that’s a lot of time to dissect the film on an opponent.
New York is also 11-3 against the spread when facing defenses that allow a completion percentage of 61.0% or higher since the start of last season. So, the Giants do tend to cover when facing opponents that can’t quite capitalize on their lack of a good passing game.
It also just needs to be noted that the Seahawks are dealing with a ton of injuries themselves. Seattle has 13 players listed as questionable in this one, which means you’ll want to head over to our VSiN Injury Report before this game. Of course, not all those players will end up missing this game, but you can expect the Seahawks to be undermanned here. And the fact that they have a bye week after this means they might be cautious with some of those banged-up players.
It just feels like a lot is working against Seattle heading into this meeting with a fresh New York team, and I also think the Giants secondary will hold up well against Geno Smith and the passing game. Things haven’t been pretty for New York’s defensive backs this season, but the team has had some time to correct those issues. And I think the Giants will get a lot of pressure on Smith in this game, with pass rusher Azeez Ojulari expected to come back for this game.
Seahawks vs. Giants Total
While the Seahawks have gone Over in each of their last two games, I don’t see it happening again here. The Giants have just had too much time to get ready for this game, so New York’s defense should be able to keep Seattle in check — at least early on, with the Seahawks potentially making some adjustments late. I also do think the Giants will want to run the ball in this one, which would definitely help out Under bettors.
The Under also happens to be 31-18 when Seattle is a road favorite under head coach Pete Carroll, with the average total points scored in those games being 40.4 points per game. The Under is also 15-5 when Seattle is coming off back-to-back games of scoring 30 or more points under Carroll. The Seahawks are averaging 25.4 points per game in that situation, so the offense does seem to come crashing down to earth after two great performances in a row.
Seahawks vs. Giants Player Props
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Darren Waller Over 47.5 Receiving Yards
The Giants haven’t been able to get Waller going, even though he was hyped up all throughout training camp. But one would imagine that some of the extra practice time in between Weeks 3 and 4 was used to put some new things in for Waller, as New York needs to get its big offseason acquisition involved. However, new concepts might not even be necessary against this Seattle team. The Seahawks have the second-worst DVOA against opposing tight ends this season, so this team can’t be trusted to cover Waller. They were really gashed by rookie Sam LaPorta in Week 3, letting him go for five catches for 63 yards in that one. With that in mind, I like Waller to reach at least 48 yards here. And I can be talked into some alternate totals too. I’m expecting a big performance from him.
Seahawks vs. Giants Prediction
The Giants haven’t looked all that inspiring early in the season, but you can’t ignore the importance of rest in this league. With this game being on Monday night, New York has now had 10 full days of rest and preparation since losing to San Francisco on Thursday Night Football in Week 3. That should have been enough time for the Giants to figure out a way to beat this Seahawks secondary through the air. It was also enough time to get Bredeson out of concussion protocol, which is a good sign for a line that has been banged up. So, even without Thomas, New York should have enough to get the job done in this big home game.
Lean: Giants +1.5
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