NFL preseason Week 2 has high-scoring look

By Jeff Fogle  (VSiN City newsletter) 

August 17, 2018 12:04 AM

Touchdowns galore through an explosive start to Week 2 of the NFL preseason. Plus, market notes for the rest of the weekend and a baseball recap right now in VSiN City!

NFL Preseason: New England in regular season form in “revenge” win over Philadelphia

With three games on the Thursday night card, we have room to run expanded box scores for each. We’ll take them in Nevada Rotation order, starting with a Super Bowl rematch…

New England (-4) 37, Philadelphia 20 

Total Yardage: Philadelphia 359, New England 334

Yards-per-Play: Philadelphia 4.8, New England 4.7

Rushing Yards: Philadelphia 43, New England 140

Passing Stats: Philadelphia 27-51-1-316, New England 24-40-0-194

Turnovers: Philadelphia 2, New England 0

TD Drive Distance: Philadelphia 69-78-75, New England 62-69-52

You’ll see in a moment that Tom Brady threw 26 passes…so this had a dress rehearsal feel to it even though he didn’t play last week. We said “regular season form” in the headline because THIS is what Patriots victories look like numerically. Not as many yards as you’d expect considering the scoreboard. But, moving the ball with low risk before closing out drives. Patriots led 27-7 at the half (thanks partly to a fumble return touchdown) before coasting home. 

We'll look at the individual quarterback stats in each game…

Philadelphia Quarterback Stats

Nick Foles: 3-9-0-44

Nate Sudfeld: 22-39-0-312

Joe Callahan: 2-3-0-7

Shaky night for Foles, though he did get some yardage with those three completions. Carson Wentz still isn’t ready for game action. Nate Sudfield threw almost 40 passes, many in garbage time.  

New England Quarterback Stats

Tom Brady: 19-26-0-172

Brian Hoyer: 5-13-0-32

Danny Etling: 0-1-0-0

Solid stuff from Brady…who can probably wake up from a dead sleep and convert third and 8. Disappointing night for Hoyer, who may be running out of opportunities to do much beyond holding a clipboard. 

Tickets cash for New England and Over. Sharps (and some public money too) drove an opener of Pats -3 up to closers as high as -4.5. We talked yesterday about the importance of a line holding “above” a key number rather than being driven back to it. 

NFL Preseason: Washington wins on last-second field goal

Horrible game to watch, but a dramatic ending for fans and bettors as late field goals toyed with emotions. Washington won it with a kick at the final gun. 

Washington (plus 1) 15, NY Jets 13 

Total Yardage: NY Jets 234, Washington 342

Yards-per-Play: NY Jets 4.5, Washington 5.8

Rushing Yards: NY Jets 64, Washington 97

Passing Stats: NY Jets 18-26-2-170, Washington 23-33-1-245

Turnovers: NY Jets 2, Washington 1

TD Drive Distance: NY Jets 71, Washington no touchdowns

Weird situation for the Jets. Their quarterbacks are posting reasonably sharp numbers, but the offense isn’t lighting up the scoreboard. Just 17 points last week on 253 yards and 4.2 yards-per-play last week in the win over Atlanta. Basically the same thing this week. Should fans be excited? Dress rehearsal will tell us more. 

NY Jets Quarterback Stats

Sam Darnold: 8-11-0-62

Teddy Bridgewater: 10-15-1-127

Darnold's offense mostly moved (or didn’t) in the middle of the field. Bridgewater did rally to take a late lead, though an interception hurt his cause. He certainly looks like he can start somewhere…but probably with a bottom third team that’s not ready to make a run at the playoffs yet. 

Washington Quarterback Stats

Alex Smith: 4-6-0-48

Colt McCoy: 12-16-0-140

Kevin Hogan: 7-11-0-58

Washington saw all it needed to from Smith, in his first on-field appearance since coming over from Kansas City. It was Hogan that completed the pass to set up the game-winning kick. Broke the hearts of late Jets money. 

If you got NYJ earlier in the week, this was still a winner. Most money was disappointed with the offense. Both head coaches are now 1-5 to the Under their last six exhibition games. You could see why with the relatively conservative play-calling and emphasis on defense. We’re at the point where 59 combined passes feels like Big 10 "three yards and a cloud of dust" football in the 1960’s. So many teams throwing more than that this month.

NFL Preseason: Green Bay wins fireworks show over Pittsburgh

A count of 34-14 would be high for a preseason game. That was the halftime score! Green Bay cracked the half-century mark thanks to two pick-sixes. Both offenses scored at least four touchdowns. 

Green Bay (-6) 51, Pittsburgh 34 

Total Yardage: Pittsburgh 370, Green Bay 357

Yards-per-Play: Pittsburgh 6.2, Green Bay 5.6

Rushing Yards: Pittsburgh 151, Green Bay 77

Passing Stats: Pittsburgh 17-30-2-219, Green Bay 19-32-0-280

Turnovers: Pittsburgh 2, Green Bay 1

TD Drive Distance: Pittsburgh 73-25-45-80-75, Green Bay 40-65-51-83

We talked yesterday about all the GB backup quarterbacks looking to impress. That was definitely in play here…with 280 net passing yards on just 19 completions. Pittsburgh’s explosiveness this month has been a surprise. Uncharacteristic for August. Note that Ben Roethlisberger missed the game (with a rumored concussion that isn’t official). He’s expected back for the dress rehearsal next week. 

Pittsburgh Quarterback Stats

Mason Rudolph: 5-12-1-47

Josh Dobbs: 12-18-1-192

Both guys threw TD passes to the wrong team. Rudolph’s came on his first pass of the night. Rookie out of Oklahoma State. Pretty amazing that a rookie and Josh Dobbs could put five touchdowns up on the board. Guessing Green Bay’s defense slacked off with the big second half lead. 

Green Bay Quarterback Stats

Aaron Rodgers: 2-4-0-35

Bret Hundley: 6-9-0-77

Dezone Kizer: 7-12-0-149

Tim Boyle: 4-7-0-37

Rodgers led a nice drive in his cameo. Hundley still wants to stick around. Kizer still wants to show he belongs. Could create market respect in these last two exhibition games as well. Green Bay’s going to flip one of Hundley/Kizer for other resources before the season…you’d think. 

NFL Friday: Reading the market for a new batch of games

Three games down. Five more set for Friday night. Let’s see how sharps have been betting these so far. Games are presented in Nevada Rotation order.

NY Giants at Detroit (7 p.m. ET, 4 p.m. in Las Vegas)

Opened: Detroit -2.5, total of 40

Thursday night: Detroit -3, total of 40.5

Both teams stunk last week for new head coaches, but the Giants stunk worse because it was a bigger loss at home. That’s enough for the market to push the Lions above the standard 2-2.5 points for August home field advantage. 

Kansas City at Atlanta (7 p.m. ET, 4 p.m. in Las Vegas)

Opened: Atlanta -2.5, total of 40

Thursday night: Pick-em, total of 39

Move that big is usually personnel-related. Telling that it came from just below the key number of three…and moved HARD in the other direction. Dogs don’t always cash those (Jets didn’t Thursday). But, there’s a reason this one’s that far below the price of home field. 

Miami at Carolina (7:30 p.m. ET, 4:30 p.m. in Las Vegas)

Opened: Carolina -4, total of 43

Thursday night: Carolina -3, total of 43

Back toward the three and sticking on it. Miami money at plus 4 or plus 3.5 is happy. Let’s see if this one sticks to the key number all day Friday. 

Buffalo at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. ET, 4:30 p.m. in Las Vegas…on NFL Network)

Opened: Cleveland -3.5, total of 38.5

Thursday night: Cleveland -3.5, total of 40

Well, the fact that this game DIDN’T move from -3.5 is interesting. Whenever a number doesn’t move toward that key number, it’s telling you something about sharp sentiment. Talk of the young quarterbacks looks to have inspired some Over bets.

Arizona at New Orleans (8 p.m. ET, 5 p.m. in Las Vegas)

Opened: New Orleans -3, total of 42.5

Thursday night: New Orleans -3.5, total of 41

Arizona had horrible stats last week in a lucky win. Probably part of why this game has hovered over the key number of three at 3.5 for so long. Sharps don’t want this ugly dog still getting the hang of its new head coach. Under sentiment, as Arizona’s game only made it to 41 last week because of a fumble return TD. 

NFL Saturday: Quick follow-up on “My Guys in the Desert” discussion

Wanted to flesh out a point Brent Musburger and Vinny Magliulo were making on “My Guys in the Desert” earlier this week. Brent (the new radio voice of the Oakland Raiders) alerted our audience to the fact that Saturday’s Raiders-Rams matchup was a precursor to a regular season meeting. The same dynamic is in effect for Saturday’s Seattle/LA Chargers game. This year, the AFC West faces the NFC West in the interconference rotation during the regular season.

Oakland (AFC West) vs. the LA Rams (NFC West)

Seattle (NFC West) vs. the LA Chargers (AFC West)

Brent and Vinny were suggesting that safe, vanilla play calling could lead to a low scoring game. Sharps are certainly expecting that.

*Raiders/Rams opened 43, has been bet down to 39

*Seahawks/Chargers opened 41.5, has been bet down to 39.5

Can’t hurt that all four offenses struggled to put points on the board last week.

*LA Chargers: 17 points on 5.0 yards-per-play

*Oakland: 16 points on 5.8 yards-per-play

*Seattle: 10 points on 4.0 yards-per-play

*LA Rams: 7 points on 3.0 yards-per-play

Seattle finished with 17 points in a loss to Indianapolis because of a fumble return touchdown. Oakland was the only offense listed to top 5.0 ypp. Got them just one touchdown and three field goals. 

Be sure you watch VSiN all day EVERY DAY for the latest handicapping analysis and NFL market notes direct from the sports betting capital of the world!

MLB Thursday: Rockies score three in the ninth to stun the Braves 

Only one Thursday night game matching teams in the thick of divisional races. We’ll run that stat box, then check other results for contenders. 

Colorado (pick-em) 5, Atlanta 3 

Total Bases Plus Walks: Colorado 13, Atlanta 12

Starting Pitchers: Gray 7 IP, 3 ER, Teheran 7 IP, 2 ER

Bullpen: Colorado 2 IP, 0 ER, Atlanta 2 IP, 0 ER

Colorado trailed 3-2 entering the top of the ninth, then scored three unearned runs to steal a victory. Makes up for at least one blown game from the not-too-distant past. Colorado moves to 65-56 on the season in the crowded NL West. Atlanta falls to 68-52, still clear of Philadelphia in the NL East. 

In other early Thursday finishers involving teams in pennant races (contender listed first).

*Philadelphia split a DH with the NY Mets, losing the opener 24-4, winning the nightcap 9-6. Another winner for “twinbill trend” that asks the loser of game one to come back and win game two. Helped here that it was a CONTENDER that dropped the opener. Last two losers were Baltimore and Miami. We have it at 20-6 the last 26, on this tip provided by VSiN’s Sam Panayotovich weeks ago. We should also note…another huge offensive night on the ROAD for the Mets. They followed up 16 runs in Baltimore Wednesday with 24 runs in the series opener here. Are you kidding?! That’s 40 runs in two games! Six in the nightcap felt like a shutout. Phils now 67-54, 1.5 games behind Atlanta.  

*Chicago (-120) won at Pittsburgh 1-0. Cubs now 20 games over .500, which should at least cinch a Wildcard as a worst-case scenario (91-71 if they play only .500 ball the rest of the way). Pittsburgh back to .500 at 61-61. 

*St. Louis (-120) lost to Washington 5-4. Nats finally held onto a late lead! That ends the St. Louis winning streak at eight games. Cards 66-56 on the season, five games behind the Cubs…1.5 behind Milwaukee for second place. Big series vs. the Brewers starts Friday.

*The NY Yankees (-170) lost to Tampa Bay 3-1. A continuation of several themes we’ve been discussing with the Yanks. No need to repeat them all here. Basically a .500 caliber team for seven weeks, hidden by a fantastic start. Awful record vs. non-doormats since the All-Star break. 

No WNBA from Thursday night to review. A lot for us to pick up Monday all over the sports landscape. Have a great weekend!

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