NFL capsules for Week 11

November 16, 2021 08:56 PM


The New England Patriots (6-4 SU, ATS) visit the Atlanta Falcons (4-5 SU, ATS) to kick off Week 11 on Thursday night. The Super Bowl rematch from 2016 will certainly be a popular storyline, as the Patriots are favored by 5.5 points on the road. They face the Falcons having won four straight after a decisive 45-7 victory over the Browns. The Falcons were on the other end of a blowout last week, falling 43-3 to the Cowboys. Falcons star receiver Calvin Ridley remains out due to personal reasons. The total is 46.


The Indianapolis Colts (5-5 SU, 6-4 ATS) travel to take on the Buffalo Bills (6-3 SU, ATS) with the home team favored by 6.5. The Bills bounced back from a shocking 9-6 upset loss to the Jaguars to bury the Jets 45-17, as their top-ranked defense picked off Mike White four times. The Bills are ranked No. 1 in the league defensively in yards per play, points per game and yards per game. The Colts have rebounded from an 0-3 start to even their record and are in the mix for a wild-card spot. These teams met last postseason, with the Bills winning 27-24. The total is 50. 


The Houston Texans (1-8 SU, 4-5 ATS) visit the Tennessee Titans (8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS) with the home team favored by 10. The Titans are currently the No. 1 seed in the AFC and have won five in a row, but star running back Derrick Henry and wide receiver Julio Jones are on IR and will miss this game. The Titans have struggled in both games without Henry, averaging just 4.6 yards per play in their win over Saints last week. The Texans are on the other end of the standings, having won in Week 1 but losing eight straight since. They will be off a bye and are near the bottom of the league in many categories, including yards per play allowed and points allowed, and are dead last averaging 14.2 points per game on offense. The total is 46.5.


The Miami Dolphins (3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS) have won back-to-back games, including an impressive Thursday night victory against the Ravens, and they’ll have extra time to rest and prepare for the New York Jets (2-7 SU, ATS). The Jets have given up at least 45 points in three of their last four games and were gashed by the Bills on Sunday, allowing 9.1 yards per play and 11.7 yards per pass. The Jets are surrendering an average of 31.4 points per game, dead last in the league. Miami is averaging 4.8 yards per play on offense, and only the Bears are worse. The Dolphins are favored by 3, and the total is 45.5. Jets quarterback Mike White threw four interceptions against the Bills, but rookie Zach Wilson might be able to return from a knee injury this week. 


The Green Bay Packers (8-2 SU, 9-1 ATS) visit the Minnesota Vikings (4-5 SU, 5-4 ATS) with the road team favored by 2 and having a chance to all but clinch the NFC North. The Packers lost in Week 1 and did not cover the spread but have rewarded their bettors in every game since, including Sunday, when they shut out the Seahawks 17-0. The Vikings perhaps saved their season when they beat the Chargers, outgaining them by 128 yards. Packers running back Aaron Jones left last week’s victory with a knee injury and will likely miss this game. The total is 50.


The Baltimore Ravens (6-3 SU, 3-6 ATS) visit the Chicago Bears (3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS) with both teams coming off extra rest. The Bears are off a bye and will be looking to jump-start an offense that is 32nd in the league in yards per play. The Ravens’ typically stout defense is allowing a league-worst 6.2 yards per play and is looking to bounce back after losing Thursday night in Miami. The Ravens are favored by 6, and the total is 46. The Ravens lead the AFC North but have not been kind to their backers as they have covered only three times this season.


The Detroit Lions (0-8-1 SU, 5-4 ATS) visit the Cleveland Browns (5-5 SU, ATS) with the home team pegged as a 10-point favorite. The Browns were a trendy pick to reach their first Super Bowl but have been one of the more disappointing teams in the league. They led the Patriots 7-0 with an opening-drive touchdown, then surrendered 45 straight points in Sunday’s loss. Baker Mayfield has been battling an issue with his non-throwing shoulder and left Sunday’s game with a knee contusion. He is day-to-day, according to coach Kevin Stefanski. The Lions are off their first non-loss but are also dealing with an ailing quarterback. Jared Goff has an oblique injury but is expected to play. The total is 45.


The San Francisco 49ers (4-5 SU, 3-6 ATS) perhaps saved their season Monday night with a decisive victory over the Rams and are now in the thick of the NFC wild-card race. They will be favored by 6 as they take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-7 SU, 4-5 ATS), whose defense is near the bottom of the league in yards per play and points. The 49ers are top 10 in the league in yards per play on offense and defense and are starting to see the return of some key injured players, including tight end George Kittle. The total is 46.


The New Orleans Saints (5-4 SU, ATS) visit the Philadelphia Eagles (4-6 SU, 5-5 ATS) with the game listed as pick-’em. The Saints are off a loss despite outgaining the Titans in total yardage and yards per play. The Saints lost by two in a game in which they fumbled a kickoff that led to a touchdown and missed two extra points. The Eagles averaged 6 yards per play in beating the Broncos last week and will likely need to win to retain any hope of capturing a playoff spot. Trevor Siemian remains the Saints’ quarterback in place of the injured Jameis Winston, who is out for the year. The total is 44.


Washington (3-6 SU, 2-7 ATS) visits the Carolina Panthers (5-5 SU, ATS) with the home team favored by 3.5. Storylines abound as Cam Newton is likely to start at quarterback for the Panthers against his former coach, Ron Rivera. Both teams are off monster upsets, as Washington stunned the Bucs while the Panthers buried an undermanned Cardinals team in Arizona. Washington covered for only the second time this season. The Panthers held the Cardinals to 3.1 yards per play and are second in the league, allowing 4.6 yards per play. The total is 42.5.


The Cincinnati Bengals (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS) visit the Las Vegas Raiders (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS) with the road team favored by a point. Both teams are in the hunt for the playoffs, but both are in dire need of wins after dropping two straight. The Bengals will be off a bye and will have had plenty of time to reflect on back-to-back losses to the Jets and Browns. The Raiders have been dealing with constant turmoil and were just buried at home by the Chiefs 41-14. The total is 49. After starting 3-0 and 5-2, the Raiders would fall to .500 with a loss. The total is 49.


The Arizona Cardinals (8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS) visit the Seattle Seahawks (3-6 SU, 5-4 ATS) with the visitors pegged as 2-point chalk. The Seahawks got quarterback Russell Wilson back last week, but it didn’t help as they were shut out in Green Bay. The Cardinals hope to get quarterback Kyler Murray back this week after missing two games. The Cards are ailing on offense and have been without running back Chase Edmonds, who is on IR, and wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins. The short-handed offense was held to 3.1 yards per play and just 160 total yards in last week’s loss. The Seahawks will likely need a victory to keep alive any postseason hopes. The total is 50.


The Dallas Cowboys (7-2 SU, 8-1 ATS) rebounded from their first loss against the spread and blew out the Falcons 43-3 on Sunday. They take on the Kansas City Chiefs (6-4 SU, 3-7 ATS), who covered Sunday for just the fourth time in 20 games. Both teams are in the top third of the league in yards per play, while both defenses are near the bottom of the league in that stat. After struggling uncharacteristically for a few weeks, the Chiefs’ offense came to life Sunday night against the Raiders as Patrick Mahomes threw five touchdown passes while the Chiefs piled up 41 points. The Chiefs are favored by 3, with the highest total on the board at 56.5.


The Los Angeles Chargers (5-4 SU, ATS) host the Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3-1 SU, 3-6 ATS) with the home team favored by 4.5. Neither team was impressive last week, as the Chargers were outgained by 128 yards in their loss to the Vikings, while the Steelers could muster no late offense at home in a tie with the hapless Lions. The Chargers have been the worst team in the league against the run, allowing 155 yards per game on the ground. The Steelers have struggled on offense and are 27th in the league, averaging 5 yards per play. Ben Roethlisberger missed last week’s game due to COVID-19 but is expected back. The total is 46.5.


The New York Giants (3-6 SU, 5-4 ATS) visit the struggling Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-3 SU, 3-6 ATS) with the home team favored by 12. The Giants have had some notable upsets against Tom Brady-led teams in the past and will look for another as big dogs on “Monday Night Football.” The Bucs are off two straight losses, falling as double-digit favorites against Washington last week thanks to a barrage of turnovers. The Giants will have extra rest to prepare, having last played Nov. 7, and look to be getting star running back Saquon Barkley back from an ankle injury. The total is 50.

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