NFL capsules for Week 10

November 9, 2021 08:22 PM


Week 10 kicks off Thursday night as the Baltimore Ravens (6-2 SU, 3-5 ATS) visit the Miami Dolphins (2-7 SU, 3-6 ATS). The Ravens sit atop the AFC North after a thrilling, come-from-behind overtime victory against the Minnesota Vikings. Despite their first-place status, the Ravens have covered in only three of their eight games. They racked up 500 yards of offense Sunday, including 247 on the ground, while running 86 plays compared with 52 for the Vikings. The Dolphins are also off a win, their first since Week 1. Their victory was not as exciting as the Ravens’, as they defeated the Texans 17-9 in a game that featured nine turnovers. Uncertainty at quarterback will face the Dolphins this week, as quarterback Jacoby Brissett played last week for the again-injured Tua Tagovailoa, who has a broken finger. The Ravens are favored by 7.5, and the total is 47.5.


The Jacksonville Jaguars (2-6 SU, 3-5 ATS) will try to duplicate the biggest upset of the season when they visit the Indianapolis Colts (4-5 SU, 6-3 ATS). The Jaguars closed as 16-point underdogs last week against the Bills but won 9-6 in a stunner despite averaging under 4 yards per play. This week they are back as big underdogs. The Colts are favored by 10.5, with the total set at 48. The Colts also won last week, and while the Jaguars’ last game featured zero touchdowns and very little offense, the Colts are coming off a 45-30 victory over the Jets that included over 1,000 total yards. The Colts will have the rest advantage as they last played Thursday and will be one of a few tempting options for those still alive in survivor pools.


The Cleveland Browns (5-4 SU and ATS) visit the New England Patriots (5-4 SU and ATS) as both teams try to assert themselves in the AFC playoff race. The Patriots are favored by 1 in a game matching teams sporting identical 5-4 SU and ATS records. The Patriots defeated the Panthers handily last week despite a relatively even output in terms of yardage (273-240). They intercepted Sam Darnold three times, including one for a touchdown. The Browns also had an interception return for a touchdown and gained 7.8 yards per play as they buried the Bengals 41-16. The total is 45, and this game could have major tiebreaker implications for a wild-card spot.


The Atlanta Falcons (4-4 SU and ATS) visit the Dallas Cowboys (6-2 SU, 7-1 ATS), with the home team favored by 9. The Cowboys failed to cover for the first time this season in last week’s game against the Broncos. They trailed 30-0 late before scoring a pair of touchdowns, and they allowed over 400 yards of offense as 10-point favorites. The Falcons were on the other end of an upset last week, as they won in New Orleans and averaged over 6 yards per play. Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott returned after missing a week, while running back Ezekiel Elliott was in and out of the game with a knee injury. Falcons wide receiver Calvin Ridley remains out for personal reasons. Cowboys defensive coordinator Dan Quinn was the Falcons’ head coach from 2015-20. The total is the highest on the board at 54.5.


The Buffalo Bills (5-3 SU and ATS) visit the New York Jets (2-6 SU and ATS) with the road team  favored by 12.5. The Bills were on the wrong side of the season’s biggest upset last week, failing to reach the end zone in a 9-6 loss to the Jaguars. They come into this game still sporting the league’s best defense, allowing just 14.8 points per game and 4.5 yards per play. Which Jets quarterback the Bills will face is still to be determined, as rookie Zach Wilson is recovering from a knee injury. Backup Mike White has played well in relief, but he too is questionable with a forearm injury. Journeyman Josh Johnson finished last week’s game against the Colts. The Jets do have extra time to lick their wounds, having not played since Thursday. The total is 48.


The New Orleans Saints (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) visit the Tennessee Titans (7-2 SU and ATS) with the Titans favored by 2.5. Titans running back and MVP candidate Derrick Henry is likely out for the rest of the season, but the Titans held up just fine in their first game without their best player. They beat the Rams convincingly Sunday night, winning their fourth in a row, with all four wins coming as underdogs. The Saints are also adjusting for a major injury. Quarterback Trevor Siemian will make his second start of the season with Jameis Winston out for the year. Despite the dominance on the scoreboard, the Titans — who led the Rams 28-9 until the final seconds — gained just 194 yards on 3.4 yards per play. The Saints erased a big deficit against the Falcons before allowing a game-winning field goal on the final play. The total is 45.


The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-2 SU, 3-5 ATS) visit Washington (2-6 SU, 1-7 ATS) with both coming off a bye. The Bucs were upset in their last game, losing in New Orleans on Halloween, while Washington was beaten by Denver. These teams have been among the least profitable to back, sporting a combined 4-12 record against the spread. Despite their inability to cover, the Bucs have been outstanding on both sides of the ball, allowing under 4 yards per carry on defense and averaging 6.2 yards per play on offense, second in the league. Washington was a trendy pick to repeat in the NFC East but is in the bottom third of the league in points per game and yards per play allowed. The Bucs are favored by 10, and the total is 52. 


The Detroit Lions (0-8 SU, 4-4 ATS) visit the Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3 SU, 3-5 ATS) as the Lions search for their first victory. They’re 9-point underdogs, with the total at 43.5. The Lions are off a bye, and perhaps the most embarrassing performance so far of their winless season, losing 44-6 to the Eagles. The Steelers are near the bottom of the league, averaging just over 5 yards per play, while the Lions are allowing over 6 yards per play, 30th in the league. The Steelers blew a 14-point lead to the Bears but came back to win on a field goal in the final minute Monday night, despite being outgained by over 100 yards and allowing over 7 yards per play.  Fading the Lions will certainly be an intriguing option for survivor players.


The Minnesota Vikings (3-5 SU, 4-4 ATS) lost another heartbreaker last week, falling 34-31 in overtime to the Ravens. Remarkably, four of the Vikings’ eight games have been decided by a field goal on the final play of the game. The Los Angeles Chargers (5-3 SU and ATS) were on the right side of a last-second field goal, winning in Philadelphia last week. Both teams should have plenty of room to run, as the Vikings allow over 136 yards per game on the ground (30th) while the Chargers are dead last in the league, allowing over 161 rushing yards per game. The Chargers are favored by 3, and the total is 51.5.


The Carolina Panthers (4-5 SU and ATS) visit the Arizona Cardinals (8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS) with the home team favored by 9. If this game were played in Week 4, it would have been a battle of unbeaten teams, but the Panthers did not sustain their hot start while the Cardinals have. Sam Darnold threw three interceptions last week and leads the league with 11. Panthers coach Matt Rhule said the decision on who will start at quarterback depends on Darnold’s health. P.J. Walker would go if it’s not Darnold. The Cardinals have questions of their own at quarterback, although theirs are strictly injury-related. Kyler Murray sat last week against the 49ers with an ankle injury, and coach Kliff Kingsbury has maintained that they will exercise caution when deciding who starts at quarterback. Backup Colt McCoy led the offense in last week’s victory over the 49ers as the team put up 437 yards and 31 points.


The Seattle Seahawks (3-5 SU, 5-3 ATS) visit the Green Bay Packers (7-2 SU, 8-1 ATS) with the home team favored by 4.5. Who’s playing quarterback? Seahawks star Russell Wilson has missed three games with a finger injury but appears to be on track to play this week. Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers missed last week’s game against the Chiefs due to a positive COVID-19 test and will need to test negative Saturday before being cleared to play. In their absences their teams remained profitable, as Geno Smith covered in all three starts for the Seahawks, while Jordan Love covered last week in a 13-7 loss to the Chiefs. The Packers were blown out in Week 1 but have covered in every game since. The total is 49.5.


The Philadelphia Eagles (3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS) visit the Denver Broncos (5-4 SU and ATS). The Broncos have had a roller-coaster season, starting 3-0, losing four in a row and now winning two straight. They sit just a half-game out in the crowded AFC West. The Eagles are 2.5-point underdogs and will look to crank up a bottom-5 passing attack in yards per game. The Broncos will try to replicate their performance from last week, which was one of the more surprising and impressive victories of the season, as they not only beat the heavily favored Cowboys but dominated, leading 30-0 before a couple of late touchdowns narrowed the margin. The total is 45.


The Kansas City Chiefs (5-4 SU, 2-7 ATS) continue to bankrupt their backers. They defeated the Packers 13-7 last weekend, but a late touchdown gave the Packers the back-door cover. The Chiefs have covered just four times in their last 20 games but are favored again this week against the Las Vegas Raiders (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS). The Raiders dominated the stat sheet against the Giants, racking up over 400 yards of offense, but had only 16 points to show for six trips to the red zone and lost by a touchdown. The Raiders have had numerous off-the-field distractions this year, the latest coming Monday as they released former first-round pick Damon Arnette. The Chiefs are favored by 2.5, and the total is 51.5.


Week 10 wraps up Monday night when the Los Angeles Rams (7-2 SU, 4-5 ATS) visit the San Francisco 49ers (3-5 SU, 2-6 ATS). Both teams come off disappointing efforts a week ago. The Rams were buried by a Titans team lacking Derrick Henry and didn’t get into the end zone until the final seconds. The 49ers delivered an equally ugly performance and missed a golden opportunity to claw back into the wild-card race, surrendering 437 yards at home to a Cardinals team without Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins. The Rams are favored by 4.5, up from the lookahead line of 3, with the total at 49.5.

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