NCAAMBB Daily Power Ratings
Steve Makinen's Strength Ratings
Power Ratings: These ratings are updated upon conclusion of every game played. The Power Rating line is reflective of each team’s rating and factors in home and road court points as well as any injury or situational adjustments.
Effective Strength Indicators: The Effective Strength Indicators quantify each team’s strength and pace of play. These ratings are influenced heavily by a team’s schedule strength and the type of opponents it has played. The Effective Strength Indicator Line and/or Total projected also factors in home and road court points as well as any injury or situational adjustments.
Bettors' Ratings: The Bettors’ Ratings are calculated by analyzing the opening and closing lines/totals of games against how they were expected to be. This calculation is presumed to be bettors’ collective perception of a team and/or its pace of play. The Bettors’ Ratings Line and/or Total projected also factors in home and road court points as well as any injury or situational adjustments.
How to use these Ratings
You want to compare the three different strength ratings to the actual line when it is posted.
If there is a difference of 3 points or more between a point spread generated by the Rating vs. the actual line posted at the South Point, we have marked the game with an checkmark.
Your job as a handicapper is to understand why the actual line and the Strength Ratings are different.
The question you want to ask yourself: Did one of the Strength Ratings identify an opportunity that the betting market missed? If so, you may want to consider that play.
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