New Year's Day CFB Sharp Report


Happy New Year's Day!

On New Year's Eve we saw CFP semifinal favorites go 2-0 straight up and 2-0 ATS. In the early game, Alabama (-13) handled Cincinnati 27-6. In the late game, Georgia (-7.5) dominated Michigan 34-11. Unders also went a perfect 2-0.

Georgia has opened as a 2.5-point favorite against Alabama for the National Championship game, which will be played on Monday, January 10th. The total is 52.5. 

Now let's discuss where the respected money is leaning for today's College Football Bowl Games...


12 p.m. ET: Arkansas vs Penn State

This is the Outback Bowl and it will be played at Raymond James Stadium, home of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Arkansas (8-4 SU, 7-4-1 ATS) is ranked 21st and went 4-1 down the stretch, most recently beating Missouri 34-17 and covering as 14.5-point home favorites. On the flip side, Penn State (7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS) is unranked and went just 2-5 over their past seven games, most recently falling to Michigan State 30-27 but covering as 3.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Penn State listed as a short 3-point favorite. Respected money has pounced on Arkansas, flipping the Razorbacks to a 3-point favorite. This line move was due in large part to significant opt-outs on the Penn State side, including their leading receiver and several defensive starters. Those looking to bet against the opt-outs but wary of laying the points could target Arkansas on the moneyline (-145). 


1 p.m. ET: Kentucky vs Iowa

This is the Citrus Bowl and it will be played in Orlando, Florida. Kentucky (10-3 SU, 7-6 ATS) is ranked 22nd and is riding a three-game winning streak, most recently crushing Louisville 52-21 as 3-point road dogs. Meanwhile, Iowa (9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS) is ranked 15th but just got waxed by Michigan 42-3 in the Big Ten Championship game, failing to cover as 12-point dogs. This line opened with Iowa listed as a short 1.5-point favorite. Wiseguys have steamed Kentucky, moving the Wildcats to a 3-point favorite. Iowa will be missing star RB Tyler Goodson, who opted out, along with several other defensive players due to injury. Both teams are giving up roughly 20 PPG on defense. The difference comes on offense, where Kentucky is avering 33 PPG compared to Iowa averaging 24 PPG. 


5 p.m ET: Utah vs Ohio State

This is the Rose Bowl and it will be played in Pasadena, California. Utah (10-3 SU, 6-7 ATS) is ranked 11th and has won six straight games, most recently crushing Oregon 38-10 to win the Pac 12 Championship, easily covering as 3-point favorites. Conversely, Ohio State (10-2 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) is ranked 6th overall but just fell to Michigan 42-27, losing outright as 6.5-point road favorites. This line opened with Ohio State listed as a 7-point favorite. The public is hammering the Buckeyes, yet we've seen this line fall from 7 to 4, signaling some sharp money grabbing Utah plus the points. Ohio State will miss several starters due to opt outs, including both their star WRs Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson. 


back to news

Subscriber Only News  Vsin Exclusive

View All


Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings for every game on the board, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

CFB Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

View more CFB tools for Pro subscribers

View more NFL tools for Pro subscribers


College Lines Revealed: ATS record is a great indicator as to if the market overvalues or undervalues a team, especially late in the season. Consider betting on teams with a strong ATS record if you believe the betting market has not properly adjusted. View more tips

Live Bet Sunday: Unless you really feel you need to get out of a bet, you don't have to attempt to hedge when the game isn't going as you predicted. Hedging is just raises the floor, but lowers the ceiling on you original investment. Unless you're confident that you're you're going to win your hedge, sometimes it's best to ride out the original bet. View more tips

Matt Youmans: Colts -2.5 vs. Steelers. View more picks.

Dave Tuley: Broncos +8 vs. RavensView more picks.