Best Bets on Today's NBA Player Props Market
If you're looking for some plays for the Monday, March 20th NBA slate, we have you covered in every way possible. As always, we'll have best bets to give you some ideas of what to back when it comes to moneylines, spreads and totals. However, we're tackling player props here, and we're targeting P.J. Washington, Julius Randle and Jalen Green tonight. Keep reading to find out how we're betting on each of them.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts have on March 20
Here are our favorite NBA prop bets for Monday, March 20 (odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook):
The Hornets are looking like a tempting play in tonight’s meeting with the Pacers, with Indiana taking in most of the bets but not as much of the money. That means that Charlotte is the sharper side in the matchup, but it’ll take some very good performances from the Hornets role players for them to get the job done. With that in mind, we went out looking to find who it might be that steps up, and the answer could be P.J. Washington.
While Washington isn’t the greatest rebounder at the power forward position, he should have an opportunity to snag more than usual tonight. The Pacers are giving up the third-most rebounds per game of anybody in basketball this season, so this isn’t a team that does a good job on the glass — Indiana is also 28th in the league in rebound rate this year.
If Washington can have a good game on the boards, he should be able to go over his player combo of points and rebounds in this one. However, it might not even be necessary. In two meetings with the Pacers this season, Washington is averaging 23.0 points per game. If he’s that good as a scorer in this matchup, the rebounds will barely even need to be there.
Washington is also just a much different player at home, where he is averaging 17.3 points and 4.8 rebounds per game this season. He’s doing that on very good shooting splits, which is interesting because his shooting has been miserable on the road. And then there’s the bonus that Charlotte looks like it will be without Mark Williams tonight. That means that Washington could see extended minutes tonight, with some being as a small-ball center.
It's just a little hard to lay off this play in a game that should be high scoring. And it’s a matchup that clearly inspires confidence in Washington.
Bet: Washington Over 23.5 Points + Rebounds (-105)
According to our Daily Prop Analyzer, Julius Randle has gone over the 3.5-assist mark in 43 of the 72 games he has played this season. The big man has also gone over his actual assist total in 38 of the 72 games he has played, with there being one push thrown in there. Randle has simply been excellent as a playmaker this season, which is why he is back in the good graces of Knicks fans — and why New York is playing so well this year.
Tonight, we’re looking for Randle to hit the four-assist mark again, and this is a matchup in which he really should do it. Not only should this be a game that gets up there in scoring, but Randle is going to have a very good defender on him in Kyle Anderson. That doesn’t mean that Randle is going to get completely shut down as a scorer, but Anderson is going to make him work for everything. And it wouldn’t be surprising if Randle ends up passing a little more often because of Anderson’s presence — and Rudy Gobert (questionable) being there to meet him at the rim.
Randle also happens to be averaging 4.3 assists per game when playing at Madison Square Garden, and that’s a little higher than his season average of 4.1 assists per game. That’s not a huge difference, but it’s a nice little bonus. Randle has also gone over the 3.5 mark in four of his last five games, so he has been seeing the floor well recently.
Bet: Randle Over 3.5 Assists (-145)
The Warriors have the personnel you need to play solid defense, but we haven’t seen it from them this season — especially on the road. Golden State has the third-worst road defensive rating in the league, and the team has given up at least 127 points in three consecutive games. That makes it hard to believe that this meeting with the Rockets won’t turn into a shootout, which would make life easy on Jalen Green.
Green comes into this game after having scored at least 24 points in six of his last eight games, and it’s hard to imagine him not hitting that mark in this one. Golden State does not defend the perimeter well, so there aren’t exactly many guys in the Warriors rotation that can keep Green in front of them. Green also happens to be coming off a 40-point performance against the New Orleans Pelicans, so his confidence is there right now.
It should also be noted that Green is averaging 23.9 points per game at home this season. And he shoots 44.8% from the floor and 35.5% from 3 in Houston, compared to 37.0% from the floor and 31.1% from 3 on the road. He’s an entirely different player when he’s in his own comfort zone, and we expect him to find his groove tonight. Look for him to score at least 24 points tonight, and don’t be shocked if he has around 30.
Bet: Green Over 23.5 Points (-110)
Did you know that you can parlay these three picks together at +529 odds? Try out our VSiN Parlay Calculator HERE!
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