NBA Best Bets Today: Odds, predictions and picks for Tuesday, January 3rd

January 3, 2023 01:29 AM

Welcome to the daily NBA best bets page, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, and make sure to subscribe to the Hardwood Handicappers podcast!

All game lines via the VSiN NBA odds page

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Best Bets

Record: 33-42 | Units: -10.20 | ROI: -13.95%

None on a short Tuesday card.

The Rest

Washington Wizards @ Milwaukee Bucks (-8)

Milwaukee was dropped by Washington on New Year’s Day, largely due to the absence of many key players. Tonight, the Bucks will be in better health with both Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jrue Holiday listed as probable. Washington could be getting Bradley Beal back in the lineup as well, so Milwaukee is hardly the only one getting healthy for this matchup. But the duo of Holiday and Antetokounmpo may be much more impactful than the return of Beal. With those two on the floor, the Bucks have a +8.9 net rating and limit opponents to 107.5 points per 100 possessions in non-garbage time. Plus, Holiday is an incredible defender which can snuff out the threat of Beal should he play. With that said, Milwaukee has been wildly inconsistent for bettors lately and enters this game 1-5 SU and ATS in its last six. It would not be shocking if this line moved toward the Bucks, but there will likely be better in-game opportunities to be found. 

Boston Celtics (-8.5, 235.5) @ Oklahoma City Thunder

Robert Williams carries a questionable designation for this game, but that's the only injury issue of note for either team. This game will be the second of a road trip that will swing through Texas for the Celtics. It got off to an odd start with a loss to the Nuggets on Sunday. This matchup works for Boston on paper. The Celtics take the third most 3-point attempts in the league and shoot 37.7% while the Thunder allow opponents to take 36.0% of their shots from deep and rank 20th in opponent shooting (36.8%). Boston also has a bunch of different defensive options for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey. If Williams can go then the Celtics will have a size advantage in this matchup as well. Should Williams miss this game, the number should dip somewhat and that should alter the total as well, so keep an eye on his status. 

Sacramento Kings @ Utah Jazz (-2, 243.5)

Sacramento went to Memphis and was suffocated by the league’s best defense, but this is not anywhere near the same caliber of opponent. Utah ranks 28th in non-garbage time defensive efficiency (116.5), allows opponents to shoot 67.5% at the rim and ranks 24th in halfcourt defense (98.7). The Kings should be able to recapture their offensive form in this game, but can they stop the Jazz efficiently? Utah averages 120.1 points per 100 possessions in non-garbage time at home, the fourth-best home offensive rating in the league. Just four days ago, these two combined for 251 points in 101 possessions, and it’s hard to see any other kind of game play out. Sacramento might not have Kevin Huerter or Malik Monk here which would be massive blows to its depth. The initial move on the total is Under, but if both Huerter and Monk play we might see some buyback on the total.

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