ATS Report for Saturday, May 27: Updated records for spreads and totals

By Dave Tuley  ( senior reporter) 

May 28, 2023 01:07 AM


Saturday Betting Recaps

After not being sure if we would have any NBA or NHL playoff games to bet on Saturday, we had two thrilling games with the underdogs going 2-0 ATS with the Stars pulling an outright upset and the Heat covering in a last-second loss vs. the Celtics. Meanwhile, dogs also had a winning record in MLB.

Let’s get to the specific details with our nightly betting recaps, and then update the spread and total records in each sport.

NBA: Celtics beat Heat 104-103 on tip-in at buzzer to again avoid elimination and force Game 7 in the Eastern Conference Finals. The ViewFromVegas is they did NOT cover after closing as 2-point road favorites (game stayed Under the betting total of 209 points). Home/dog/Under went 1-0 ATS, as well as the "zig-zag" (aka “loser of the last”) going 1-0 ATS with the Heat covering after losing the previous game.

More NBA: Dogs dipped to 6-4 SU this round but improved to 9-1 ATS. Faves still lead 51-26 SU and 41-35-1 ATS (54.7%) in playoffs with 1 pick-’em. Road teams improved to 6-4 SU this round but dipped to 7-3 ATS; however, home teams still lead 48-30 SU and 43-34-1 ATS (55.3%) overall. Over/Unders back to .500 at 5-5 this round, but Over still lead 39-37-2 overall. The zig-zag also back to .500 at 4-4 ATS this round and leads 34-29-1 ATS (54%).

NHL: Stars beat Golden Knights 4-2 Saturday to again avoid elimination and pulled within 3-2 in the Western Conference Finals. The Stars closed as +134 road underdogs (went Over betting total of 5.5 goals). Road/dogs/Over went 1-0. The "zig-zag" (aka "loser of the last") went 0-1 as the Golden Knights lost the previous game.

More NHL: Dogs took 4-3 lead this round with 2 pick-'ems and improved to 42-36 overall in the playoffs with 4 PKs. Home teams dipped to 5-4 this round, but road teams improved to 45-37 overall. Unders 6-3 this round, but Overs take 41-40-1 lead after Over/Unders were tied heading into this game. The zig-zag is only 1-6 this round after being so hot in prior rounds, but still leads 38-30 overall.

MLB: Dogs led 8-7 with the biggest upsets by the Marlins (+185 in 8-5, 10-inning win at Angels late Friday), Rockies (+175 in 10-7 home win vs. Mets) and Reds (+150 in 8-6 road win at Cubs). Road teams went 10-5 (after dominating at 13-2 on Friday). Unders led 8-7. On the season, faves lead 450-325 with 9 PKs. Home teams’ lead down to 410-372 with 2 neutral-site games. Overs lead 383-371-29 with 1 no-action.

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A Numbers Game: Be careful betting baseball games right now, if they don’t involve teams still trying to make the playoffs. Teams that have clinched or teams that are completely out of it will be approaching games far differently. View more tips.

Ian Cameron: USC at Colorado - OVER (73.5). View more picks.