NBA Draft Odds and Wednesday Sharp Action Report for Toledo-Eastern Michigan and Western Michigan-Central Michigan

November 17, 2020 11:38 PM

Tonight we have the NBA Draft at 7 p.m. ET.  And while it may not take in as much betting action as the NFL Draft, there is still value to be had. Here are the latest odds according to DraftKings.

First overall pick

LaMelo Ball -121

Anthony Edwards -118

James Wiseman + 900

Obi Toppin + 10000

Over/Under Draft Position

LaMelo Ball 2.5 (Over + 155, Under -195)

James Wiseman 2.5 (Over + 105, Under -129)

Anthony Edwards 1.5 (Over -115, Under -106)

Obi Toppin 4.5 (Over -250, Under + 200)

Deni Avdija 4.5 (Over -110, Under -110)

Onyeka Okongwu 6.5 (Over + 115, Under -139)

Tyrese Halliburton 7.5 (Over + 125, Under -155)

Isaac Okoro 8.5 (Over + 118, Under -143)

RJ Hampton 15.5 (Over -118, Under -104)

Cole Anthony 20.5 (Over -125, Under + 103)

Here are a couple tips to keep in mind today...

1. Shop Around: Different sites have different odds and different prices. So if you see value on a certain prop, don't immediately bet it at at the first book you see. Make sure you compare prices around the market and pay the lowest juice possible.

2. Monitor odds movement and stay glued to Twitter: If you see odds on a certain player start to move, there's a good chance it's because information is being leaked. If you can follow respected sources and reputable rumors as soon as the info leaks, you can jump on slow moving books before they adjust.

For an updated breakdown of Wednesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at noon ET. I'll be joining The Lombardi Line at 12:25 p.m. ET to offer an action update for tonight's College Football games. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3-5 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's discuss a pair of college football games for tonight.

7 p.m. ET: Toledo (1-1) at Eastern Michigan (0-2)

This is the most lopsided matchup of Tuesday's three-game slate. After crushing Bowling Green 38-3 in the season opener, Toledo had their hearts broken last week, losing at the last second to Western Michigan 41-38 as a 1-point dog. On the flip side, Eastern Michigan has lost both of their games but covered for spreads. Last week Eastern Michigan fell to Ball State 38-31 but covered as 8.5-point dogs. This line opened with Toledo listed as a 7-point road favorite. The public expects Toledo to bounce back and roll over winless Eastern Michigan. However, despite two-thirds of bets laying the points, we've seen this line fall from -7 to -6.5, signaling wiseguy money backing the home dog plus the points. We've also seen some sharp action hit this over, pushing the total up from 59.5 to 61.

7 p.m. ET: Western Michigan (2-0) at Central Michigan (2-0)

This battle for Michigan bragging rights features a pair of undefeated teams battling for first place in the MAC West. Western Michigan is coming off a thrilling last-second comeback over Toledo 41-38, miraculously covering as 1-point favorites. Meanwhile, Central Michigan just throttled Northern Illinois 40-10, easily covering as 6-point favorites. Western Michigan possesses the super offense (49.5 PPG vs 35 PPG) while Central Michigan has the better defense (18.5 PPG allowed vs 25.5 PPG allowed). This line opened with Central Michigan listed as a 2-point home favorite. Spread bets are relatively split and the public doesn't know who to take. But we've seen smart money hit Western Michigan, dropping this line down to a pick'em or Western Michigan -1 depending on the book. Depending on who you like here, it might be wiser to take the moneyline. We've also seen some under money show up, dropping the total slightly from 60.5 to 59.5. The forecast calls for 10-15 MPH winds.

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