NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice Thursday 12/16


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Thursday, December 16th

Thursday means the usual short slate to make way for the NFL, but there is still value to found in such a finite selection.

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Detroit Pistons at *Indiana Pacers (-10.5, 210)

Detroit will not have Jerami Grant on the floor tonight, but Cory Joseph, Killian Hayes and Hamidou Diallo will be available which makes this line somewhat odd. The Pistons are essentially the same team with or without Grant on the floor, getting outscored by 12.2 points per 100 possessions when he is on the floor and 11.5 points when he is off, so his loss should not alter the rating of this team much at all. Indiana has been in much better form lately, posting a 7-5-1 ATS record over the last 13 games with a + 3.5 net rating. However, they were either underdogs or favorite of no more than 7.5 points in those contests. Asking this team to cover 10 or 10.5 seems like quite the ask. Detroit is 1-3 ATS in its last four games, but one of those losses was to Brooklyn and the other was a loss to Oklahoma City in which it blew a fourth quarter lead. The situation is not as dire, and as long as Cade Cunningham is out there and Grant is the only absence I will take 10 with the underdog.

Play: Pistons (+ 10)

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