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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice Monday 11/22


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Monday, November 22nd

It is a big card tonight so let’s not waste any time.

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Brooklyn Nets (-7.5, 207.5) at Cleveland Cavaliers

Brooklyn might be winning games, but the team is barely getting by and as a result it’s been a losing proposition to wager on the Nets regularly. Kevin Durant missed their last game, a comeback win over Orlando, with a sore shooting shoulder but is not on the injury report today. Bruce Brown and Joe Harris are on the report, and both have already been ruled out with injury. Evan Mobley remains out with his elbow injury for Cleveland and Cedi Osman is doubtful to play as well. Now that we’re done with the injuries let’s get to the actual matchup. When these two teams met last week, it was a successful and-one opportunity converted by Darius Garland with 16.4 seconds left that got the Cavaliers on or inside the number. Cleveland struggled mightily on offense in that game, managing just 0.99 points per possession, and that has been a theme for the Cavaliers lately. In their last six games they are averaging 98.6 points per 100 possessions and have not put up more than a point per possession in five straight contests. It might be hard to swallow that many points with an overvalued favorite that is 4-5-1 ATS this month, but it is the side I would rather be on if forced to choose.

Charlotte Hornets at Washington Wizards (-4.5, 216)

On Saturday, Washington overcame a 10-point deficit with less than five minutes to go to beat Miami and snap an 0-2 SU and ATS slide. The first of those two losses was to this Charlotte team and they look for revenge tonight. The Hornets have been in great form and were on a 5-0 SU and ATS run before falling to the Hawks on Saturday. This matchup remains the same as a few days ago. Charlotte loves to work their offense off dribble penetration, and it is up to Washington to limit that. The Wizards allow opponents to shoot 67.3% at the rim and the Hornets take the second-highest rate of attempts within four feet. In their meeting five days ago went 21-of-31 at the rim and throttled them in transition by averaging 1.385 points per play. Limiting those looks within four feet and keeping Charlotte out of transition is the game plan for Washington, but that is obviously easier said than done. The betting market has dipped from the opening number of Wizards -3.5 and I agree with that move. I’ve been looking to play against Washington lately and took one on the chin with their big comeback on Saturday night, but it looks like the betting market agrees that the power rating for the Wizards is just a bit too high.

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