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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Wednesday 5/11

By Jonathan Von Tobel  (Senior NBA Analyst) 


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Wednesday, May 11

*Lines are opening numbers

Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics (-5.5, 214.5)

Game 5: Series tied 2-2

In a series that has been dominated by defense it was the offenses that made the difference on Monday night. Boston put up 1.87 points per possession in the fourth quarter and scored 43 points thanks to the efforts of Al Horford and Jayson Tatum, and this series is now tied and homecourt is back in the hands of the Celtics. Boston now has two games in which it has averaged 1.173 points per possession or more in this series, both of which were wins, and they will need that tonight to take that commanding 3-2 series lead. 

Giannis Antetokounmpo looked taxed at the end of that game on Monday, and it is no coincidence that the Celtics were able to do what they did on the offensive end of the floor. The two-time MVP needs help, and he is not getting it. Antetokounmpo is averaging 32.0 points, 13.0 rebounds and 8.0 assists in the series on 43.5% shooting from the floor, but Jrue Holiday is shooting 33.6% from the floor and 30.9% from deep. Bobby Portis has been held to 13 total points the last two games, Brook Lopez has contributed just 9.5 points per game and Pat Connaughton is their most consistent role player with 10.8 points per contest on 46.9% shooting from the perimeter. Those contributions do not cut it in a postseason series, and now they must go on the road.

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