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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Wednesday 4/6


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Wednesday, April 6th

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Best Games

Dallas Mavericks (-10, 220.5) at Detroit Pistons

Just one game separates Dallas and Golden State, so the Mavericks should be motivated to win these last three games to steal the third seed from the Warriors. However, motivation only means so much, and Dallas will have to be better defensively if it wants to cover a big number on the road against Detroit. The Mavericks have allowed 118.3 points per 100 possessions over the course of their last 11 games, and while they have a 7-4 SU record in those contests they have only covered five of them. Now, they must face a Pistons team which is 11-11 SU/19-3 ATS since Feb. 16 with a + 0.4 net rating. There has clearly been no real adjustment by the market on the power rating for Detroit, and as a result they continue to cover numbers like the one hung here today. The injury report is lengthy for the Pistons today though, so a shortage of bodies could keep them from staying inside this number. Marvin Bagley, Cory Joseph and Kelly Olynyk are among the six players not playing tonight for Detroit. I have always said that if the dynamic duo of Cade Cunningham and Saddiq Bey are playing this team has a chance, but it will be tight tonight.

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