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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Wednesday 4/27


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Wednesday, April 27th

*Lines are opening numbers

Chicago Bulls at Milwaukee Bucks (-10, 217.5)

Game 5: Bucks lead 3-1

Chicago was already pressed to find an answer for Milwaukee’s defense, and now they must do it without Zach LaVine who is out with COVID tonight. The betting market deemed that his absence was worth two points and the Bucks are now -12 across the board. Unless Milwaukee decides to put forth the lackadaisical effort it did in Game 2 then there is little reason to believe that this is not another comfortable double-digit victory for the Bucks. Through four game the Bulls have the worst offensive rating in the postseason, averaging only 94.2 points per 100 possessions. Chicago has resorted to chucking inefficient mid-range jumpers, taking 26.0% of their attempts from long mid-range (About 14 feet to the inside of the 3-point line) while shooting just 40.7% on those attempts. Their bench has been abysmal, averaging 16.7 points per game in the series so far, and now they have one less scorer with the absence of LaVine. Alex Caruso was ruled out this morning as well, which means Chicago will be without one its best scorers and its best defender. This might lead you to laying 12 with Milwaukee, but this number is right where it should be and laying a big number like this could bite bettors. The total has dropped, and it makes sense given how poorly the Bulls’ offense has played in this series. It seems another sub 100-point game is in the cards for the underdog tonight.

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