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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Wednesday 4/20


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Wednesday, April 20th

*Lines are opening numbers

Brooklyn Nets at Boston Celtics (-4, 228.5)

Game 2: Celtics lead 1-0

There is not much separating these two teams as currently constructed, and it’s why I do not think I’ll be laying any numbers in these individual games. Boston put forth an incredible effort on Sunday and looked like it would run away with it after opening an 11-point lead after the third quarter, but they still needed a ridiculous spinning finish from Jayson Tatum at the gun to win. It’s going to be nearly impossible to put this Nets team away given the talent of Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving, but we did see that the Celtics have some advantages they can rely on throughout the series. Brooklyn is hurting for some size with its current rotation, and that showed when Boston grabbed 39.1% of its missed shot attempts and scored 18 second chance points. The Celtics also abused the Nets’ poor perimeter for 36 attempts at the rim and five drawn shooting fouls, but they only 24 of those attempts which is a figure that should be better when getting that volume of shots within four feet. Having said that, Durant and Irving still exist. Durant had an extremely poor showing of 23 points on 24 attempts with six turnovers which is something he is not likely to repeat, and despite having the Defensive Player of the Year it seems Boston will not have an answer for Irving. The betting market did the right thing here is supporting the underdog, but the total being dropped 2.5 points is curious. I believe neither team has an answer for the other when it comes to defending, and with a slightly smoother game not consistently interrupted by whistles like Sunday we could be in for a quicker affair than the 97-possession contest we saw Sunday. 

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