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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Wednesday 3/23


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Wednesday, March 23rd

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Best Bets

Philadelphia 76ers (-6, 228.5) at Los Angeles Lakers

LeBron James carries his usual designation of questionable into tonight against Philadelphia, but nothing we have seen since the All-Star break would lead you to believe he is missing this game. The 76ers are coming off a fantastic win over the Heat without their dynamic duo of Joel Embiid and James Harden, but things have gone sideways for the two superstars recently. Since the 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS start after the acquisition of Harden, Philadelphia is 4-3 SU/2-4-1 ATS in the last seven contests with those two on the floor. The non-Embiid minutes have been an absolute nightmare for Doc Rivers and the 76ers. The team is -6.9 per 100 possessions in those minutes and the defense is allowing 125.4 points per 100 possessions when Harden runs the show without him. Despite that the market loves this team, but there are clearly flaws with the depth and it has led to opportunities to bet against them. The market has moved toward Philadelphia yet again here, but I would disagree with this. James and the Lakers could very much take advantage of this team when Embiid is sitting. Philadelphia allows opponents to take 38.6% of their attempts at the rim while shooting 72.7% in that area of the floor. The Lakers want to run and they want to get to the restricted area of the floor. Don’t be surprised if this numbers comes back to the home team and if the Lakers cover.

Play: Lakers (+ 7.5)

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