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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Wednesday 3/2


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Wednesday, March 2nd

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Best Bets

New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers (-10.5, 223.5)

The two games with James Harden on the floor have worked out spectacularly for Philadelphia. The 76ers are 2-0 SU and ATS with a + 22.2 net rating and an offense that has put up 124.6 points per 100 possessions. Joel Embiid has thrived with the spacing Harden provides for him, consistently getting one-on-one matchups and putting defenders in tough situations that ultimately lead to him standing on the free throw line. Others have also benefitted from Harden’s presence, and it shows in some of the shooting numbers. On the season the 76ers average 22.8 catch-and-shoot 3-point attempts and hit 36.3% of them, but in two games they have totaled 50 of those attempts and shot 42.0% on them. One of the biggest beneficiaries of all this is Tyrese Maxey, who in two games has scored 49 points and shot 5-of-8 from distance. Maxey seems to have the eye of Harden, who has found him multiple times in transition opportunities, and as a result he’s surpassed his season average of attempts in both games. This is where I’m going for this play tonight. Maxey is set to see a surge in his scoring and attempts with Harden on the floor. He fits perfectly as a the two-guard and he is a 40.2% catch-and-shoot 3-point shooter. As far as the matchup itself is concerned, we have yet to see much movement with only the total getting bumped up a point here. When these two met in New York on Sunday morning the 76ers closed -7.5 and a shift to Philadelphia would be in line with this number today. New York does not have much size to deal with Embiid, and with Kemba Walker out of the rotation the youngsters are getting more run. Against a veteran laden team like the 76ers it would not be surprising to see a result like the one over the weekend.

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