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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Wednesday 3/16


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Wednesday, March 16th

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Best Bets

Atlanta Hawks at Charlotte Hornets (-2, 237)

When the Hawks failed to cover a 13.5-point spread against the Trail Blazer on Monday they fell to 0-6 ATS in their last six game. The betting market loves this team but they fail to deliver on a nightly basis, and tonight the market’s first move was in their direction again. Over the course of these six games Atlanta has allowed 117.9 points per 100 possessions and they are now 26th in non-garbage time defensive efficiency (114.8) on the season. Poor defensive play is not what you want when facing Charlotte, which has finally started to figure things out on offense. Since the All-Star break the Hornets are third in offensive efficiency (120.7) and in March they 4-2 SU and ATS while averaging 124.0 points per 100 possessions. The Hawks have the edge in the regular season series, but given recent form and the market’s overvaluing of Atlanta I’ll take a point with the home team.

Play: Hornets (+ 1)

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