NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Wednesday 12/1


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Wednesday, December 1st

There are some fantastic contests on tonight's card, and hopefully some winners too!

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Minnesota Timberwolves at Washington Wizards (-3, 214.5)

The slide for Washington continued Monday with its loss to San Antonio, and the Wizards are now 3-5 SU/2-6 ATS in their last eight games with a -7.8 net rating. Opponents have killed Washington from the perimeter during this slump, connecting on 36.9% of all 3-point attempts and 37.7% of non-corner attempts, and there is a chance those issues could continue against Minnesota. The Timberwolves are a high-volume shooting team that takes 43.2% of their attempts from the perimeter but shoots just 34.0%. According to the NBA tracking data the Wizards have allowed the lowest rate of wide-open 3-point attempts in the league over the last eight games, so the opponent shooting is probably just a bit of bad luck over the course of a long season. The offensive issues for Washington are not though. During these eight games they are putting up just 105.5 points per 100 possessions which is right in line with their season-long rating of 107.2 in non-garbage time minutes. Minnesota has quietly put together a great defensive season so far, limiting opponents to 105.4 points per 100 possessions while ranking second in halfcourt defense (86.3). The Wizards could certainly struggle again tonight, but their strength is the lone weakness of this Timberwolves defense. Washington ranks 11th in frequency of attempts inside four feet and fourth in shooting (69.0%). Minnesota allows opponents to take 33.7% of their attempts at the rim and has had issues keeping good rim teams outside of the restricted area. The market has moved in the direction of Washington by a half-point, and this due to a flu bug making its way around the Timberwolves locker room. Anthony Edwards is questionable to play as a result, so keep an eye on the reports throughout the day. 

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