NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Wednesday 11/24

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Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Wednesday, November 24th

It is a big card tonight so let’s not waste any time.

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

*Los Angeles Lakers at Indiana Pacers (-1, 217.5)

LeBron James is expected to return from suspension tonight, but the market continues to move in the direction of Indiana. Anthony Davis played while the under the weather last night, so there is certainly a chance he will not be available tonight which explains some of the adjustment on the Pacers. Indiana has its own injury concerns with Caris LeVert who is questionable to play with a sore back. The Pacers are allowing just 104.6 points per 100 possessions on defense this month, and they are a team I want to play on moving forward. However, I missed the best number available and LeVert’s status turn me away from Indiana. Should Davis not appear on the injury report I would expect some buyback on Los Angeles.

Phoenix Suns (-6.5, 209.5) at Cleveland Cavaliers

Phoenix has not lost a game this month, but it’s clear their power rating is peaking as they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games. The betting market has a lot of respect for the Suns and that is represented by this number. Two nights ago, the number plummeted against Brooklyn, closing + 5.5 which Cleveland covered. Tonight, the number is up a point to 7.5 and not showing a sign of coming down. Not only do the Cavaliers still not have Evan Mobley due to an elbow injury, but Darius Garland is also dealing with a neck injury and is questionable to play. If Garland is available the underdog is worth a look here, but can’t fire until his status is official.

Charlotte Hornets (-7, 217) at Orlando Magic

Charlotte is playing fantastic basketball right now. The Hornets are 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven games with a + 5.0 net rating and a defense that is allowing just 102.8 points per 100 possessions over this span. Charlotte is 19th in defensive efficiency this season so it is likely this play on that end of the floor continues, but it is plausible it continues for one more night against an Orlando team that is one of the worst offenses in the league. The Magic averaged just 0.757 points per possession in their loss to the Bucks, but that result did snap a 3-0 ATS run from Orlando. Given we remember what we saw last it is not surprising to see Charlotte get the support at the window this morning, but I would be cautious jumping to lay this number. The Magic live on the 3-point line and the Hornets 24th in frequency of 3-point attempts allowed. A hot shooting night from the underdog could certainly keep them inside an inflated number.

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