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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Tuesday 5/3


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Tuesday May 3rd

*Lines are opening numbers

Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics (-4, 215)

Game 2: Bucks lead 1-0

Boston ran into a legitimate NBA defense on Sunday and was reminded how hard a path to the Finals is. The Bucks held them to just 0.89 points per possession, forced 18 turnovers and won on the glass 54-48 in a Game 1 victory. Boston faced little interior resistance against Brooklyn, but it was different story against Milwaukee, as the Celtics were held to just 10 made baskets inside the arc, all of which came at the rim on an inefficient 45.5% shooting.

The efficiency at the rim needs to improve, but that is easier said than done against a team that allowed the fifth-fewest attempts to opponents at the rim. It is not all doom and gloom for Boston though. They performed very well on the defensive end of the floor themselves, limiting the Bucks to 1.031 points per possession and 0.756 points per play in half-court settings. Where the Celtics’ defense failed, and where the game was won, was in transition -- where Milwaukee added 7.2 points per 100 possessions and averaged 1.5 points per play compared to the miniscule 0.58 points per play for Boston. Most of that transition work came off steals for the Bucks, so a better handle on the ball will allow the Celtics to limit the damage in that facet of the game. At the end of the day, this game backs down to the number for me.

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