NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Tuesday 5/24

By Jonathan Von Tobel  (Senior NBA Analyst) 


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Tuesday, May 24

*Lines are opening numbers

Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks (-1, 215.5)

Game 4: Warriors lead 3-0

It is downright impressive what the Golden State Warriors have done in this series.

They are 3-0 SU and ATS with a + 17.6 net rating in non-garbage time minutes, they have limited the Dallas Mavericks to just 105.5 points per 100 possessions and their performances in each of the last two games were representative of the gap between these two teams. In Game 2 they trailed by 17 points just 26 seconds into the third quarter and would go on to not only win but cover as well by limiting Dallas to 0.978 points per possession in the second half. On Sunday, they trailed by nine points with 3:58 left to go in the second quarter. The betting market had bet up the Mavericks to -3.5 thinking that it was the “spot” for a desperate team. Golden State proceeded to rip off a 10-0 run, led by a point at halftime and never trailed again. The Warriors are just a terrible matchup for the Mavericks, and we’ve seen this play out over the course of these three games, and there is little reason to expect anything less tonight.

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